Points
56Points expected by the market
65.82Gap
−9.82Yield
−17.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 20 | −6.25 | −26.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 33 | −2.24 | −20.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.33 | +23.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −5.89 | −30.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.52 | −44.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.36 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | −0.72 | −7.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.42 | +54.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reading · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.65 |
| M2 | Barnsley · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.02 |
| M3 | Millwall · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.73 |
| M4 | Luton · Home20 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.80 |
| M5 | Preston · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.55 |
| M6 | Queens Park Rangers · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.11 |
| M7 | Huddersfield · Away15 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.48 |
| M8 | Fulham · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.17 |
| M9 | Middlesbrough · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.87 |
| M10 | Hull · Away1 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.50 |
| M11 | Wigan · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.64 |
| M12 | Cardiff · Away18 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +2.47 |
| M13 | Stoke · Home22 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.00 |
| M14 | Leeds · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +3.87 |
| M15 | Blackburn · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.61 |
| M16 | Swansea · Home9 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.00 |
| M17 | West Bromwich Albion · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.01 |
| M18 | Birmingham · Home27 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.22 |
| M19 | Charlton · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.46 |
| M20 | Brentford · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.05 |
| M21 | Derby · Away11 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +2.56 |
| M22 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.25 |
| M23 | Bristol City · Home22 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +5.34 |
| M24 | Stoke · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.95 |
| M25 | Cardiff · Home29 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +2.13 |
| M26 | Hull · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | +0.41 |
| M27 | Leeds · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +2.71 |
| M28 | Blackburn · Home18 Jan 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.77 | +0.95 |
| M29 | Wigan · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.43 |
| M30 | Millwall · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.02 |
| M31 | Barnsley · Away8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.42 |
| M32 | Luton · Away12 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.02 |
| M33 | Reading · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.66 |
| M34 | Birmingham · Away22 Feb 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.14 | −4.80 |
| M35 | Charlton · Home26 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −3.73 |
| M36 | Derby · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.36 |
| M37 | Brentford · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −6.06 |
| M38 | Nottingham Forest · Home20 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −6.42 |
| M39 | Bristol City · Away28 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −4.86 |
| M40 | West Bromwich Albion · Home1 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.78 |
| M41 | Swansea · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −7.02 |
| M42 | Preston · Home8 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −8.50 |
| M43 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −7.04 |
| M44 | Huddersfield · Home14 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −7.38 |
| M45 | Fulham · Away18 Jul 2020 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.01 | −8.39 |
| M46 | Middlesbrough · Home22 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −9.82 |
| Total | 56 | −9.82 | |||