Points
56Points expected by the market
65.53Gap
−9.53Yield
−5.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 21 | −3.49 | −18.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 22 | −10.54 | −30.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 10 | +3.65 | +95.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 21 | −3.49 | −18.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.59 | +36.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.24 | +197.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 13 | −11.13 | −52.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.41 | +55.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park Rangers · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.87 |
| M2 | Charlton · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −3.32 |
| M3 | Derby · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.95 |
| M4 | Preston · Away21 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.24 |
| M5 | Leeds · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.29 |
| M6 | Birmingham · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −7.71 |
| M7 | Bristol City · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −9.34 |
| M8 | Brentford · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −9.26 |
| M9 | Nottingham Forest · Home27 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −10.83 |
| M10 | Huddersfield · Home1 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −12.72 |
| M11 | Swansea · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −10.74 |
| M12 | Fulham · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −9.00 |
| M13 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away22 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.22 |
| M14 | Millwall · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −11.59 |
| M15 | West Bromwich Albion · Home4 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −12.84 |
| M16 | Barnsley · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.57 | −11.27 |
| M17 | Wigan · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −10.12 |
| M18 | Cardiff · Away26 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.31 |
| M19 | Blackburn · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −13.07 |
| M20 | Hull · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −14.36 |
| M21 | Luton · Home10 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −13.29 |
| M22 | Reading · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −14.05 |
| M23 | Middlesbrough · Away20 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −15.47 |
| M24 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −13.78 |
| M25 | Fulham · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −14.84 |
| M26 | Huddersfield · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.64 | −13.20 |
| M27 | Millwall · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −13.84 |
| M28 | West Bromwich Albion · Away20 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −11.86 |
| M29 | Swansea · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −10.54 |
| M30 | Derby · Away31 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.44 | −11.98 |
| M31 | Charlton · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −10.97 |
| M32 | Preston · Home12 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −12.57 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −13.89 |
| M34 | Cardiff · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −12.52 |
| M35 | Blackburn · Away26 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −12.70 |
| M36 | Luton · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −13.24 |
| M37 | Hull · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −12.39 |
| M38 | Reading · Away20 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −12.79 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −14.34 |
| M40 | Wigan · Away30 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −15.64 |
| M41 | Barnsley · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −14.13 |
| M42 | Leeds · Away9 Jul 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.56 | −14.69 |
| M43 | Birmingham · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −13.31 |
| M44 | Bristol City · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −13.68 |
| M45 | Brentford · Home18 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | −11.39 |
| M46 | Nottingham Forest · Away22 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −9.53 |
| Total | 56 | −9.53 | |||