Points
70Points expected by the market
66.17Gap
+3.83Yield
−8.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 34 | +1.15 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 28 | +3.86 | −14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.00 | −31.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 24 | −2.27 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | −0.16 | −3.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.81 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.41 | +57.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +4.02 | −18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.20 | −8.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hull · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.22 |
| M2 | Derby · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.03 |
| M3 | Preston · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.40 |
| M4 | Queens Park Rangers · Away21 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.03 |
| M5 | Birmingham · Home25 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +5.18 |
| M6 | Leeds · Away31 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +7.43 |
| M7 | Nottingham Forest · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +5.66 |
| M8 | Bristol City · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +5.28 |
| M9 | Reading · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +4.50 |
| M10 | Charlton · Away2 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.89 |
| M11 | Stoke · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +4.19 |
| M12 | Barnsley · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.49 |
| M13 | Brentford · Home22 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.18 |
| M14 | Cardiff · Home27 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.71 |
| M15 | Wigan · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.29 |
| M16 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away9 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +5.18 |
| M17 | Millwall · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +3.41 |
| M18 | Huddersfield · Away26 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.05 |
| M19 | Fulham · Home29 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.70 |
| M20 | West Bromwich Albion · Away8 Dec 2019 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.98 |
| M21 | Blackburn · Home11 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.41 |
| M22 | Middlesbrough · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.59 |
| M23 | Luton · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.03 |
| M24 | Brentford · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +2.26 |
| M25 | Barnsley · Home29 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +1.52 |
| M26 | Charlton · Home2 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +2.34 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Away12 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.07 |
| M28 | Wigan · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.37 |
| M29 | Stoke · Away25 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.33 |
| M30 | Preston · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +2.28 |
| M31 | Derby · Home8 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.66 | +0.62 |
| M32 | Queens Park Rangers · Home11 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.11 |
| M33 | Hull · Away14 Feb 2020 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.62 |
| M34 | Huddersfield · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.74 |
| M35 | Fulham · Away26 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.12 |
| M36 | Blackburn · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.23 |
| M37 | West Bromwich Albion · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.28 |
| M38 | Middlesbrough · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.41 |
| M39 | Luton · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −0.50 |
| M40 | Millwall · Away30 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.80 |
| M41 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.73 |
| M42 | Birmingham · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +2.34 |
| M43 | Leeds · Home12 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.57 |
| M44 | Nottingham Forest · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.32 |
| M45 | Bristol City · Home18 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.54 |
| M46 | Reading · Away22 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.83 |
| Total | 70 | +3.83 | |||