Points
83Points expected by the market
81.00Gap
+2.00Yield
−5.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.58 | −45.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 28 | 52 | −0.10 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.60 | +29.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.58 | −45.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 29 | −1.44 | −13.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.79 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +1.34 | −3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.38 | +55.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nottingham Forest · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Millwall · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.96 |
| M3 | Luton · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.58 |
| M4 | Reading · Home21 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +1.68 |
| M5 | Derby · Away24 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +1.22 |
| M6 | Blackburn · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.56 |
| M7 | Fulham · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +2.46 |
| M8 | Huddersfield · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +3.38 |
| M9 | Queens Park Rangers · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +5.03 |
| M10 | Leeds · Away1 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +4.11 |
| M11 | Cardiff · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.13 | +5.24 |
| M12 | Middlesbrough · Away19 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.65 |
| M13 | Barnsley · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.32 | +5.33 |
| M14 | Charlton · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.23 | +4.10 |
| M15 | Stoke · Away4 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.63 |
| M16 | Hull · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.08 |
| M17 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +8.35 |
| M18 | Bristol City · Home27 Nov 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +9.27 |
| M19 | Preston · Away2 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +10.47 |
| M20 | Swansea · Home8 Dec 2019 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +11.42 |
| M21 | Wigan · Away11 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +10.46 |
| M22 | Birmingham · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.20 | +11.66 |
| M23 | Brentford · Home21 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +11.10 |
| M24 | Barnsley · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +10.40 |
| M25 | Middlesbrough · Home29 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +8.42 |
| M26 | Leeds · Home1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +8.19 |
| M27 | Charlton · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +7.17 |
| M28 | Stoke · Home20 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +5.48 |
| M29 | Cardiff · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.03 |
| M30 | Luton · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +4.74 |
| M31 | Millwall · Away9 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.38 |
| M32 | Reading · Away12 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.68 |
| M33 | Nottingham Forest · Home15 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +6.74 |
| M34 | Bristol City · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +7.99 |
| M35 | Preston · Home25 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +9.03 |
| M36 | Wigan · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | +6.91 |
| M37 | Swansea · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +6.23 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Home20 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +5.26 |
| M39 | Brentford · Away26 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +4.01 |
| M40 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.19 |
| M41 | Hull · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.72 | +5.91 |
| M42 | Derby · Home8 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +6.99 |
| M43 | Blackburn · Away11 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +6.13 |
| M44 | Fulham · Home14 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +5.43 |
| M45 | Huddersfield · Away17 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +3.46 |
| M46 | Queens Park Rangers · Home22 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.46 | +2.00 |
| Total | 83 | +2.00 | |||