Points
59Points expected by the market
54.95Gap
+4.05Yield
+10.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.28 | −34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 35 | +6.93 | +32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 15 | −1.60 | +1.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.69 | −21.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 28 | +6.10 | +32.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.84 | +30.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | −1.00 | +13.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cardiff · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.75 |
| M2 | Preston · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.64 |
| M3 | Leeds · Home17 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.15 |
| M4 | Middlesbrough · Away20 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.08 |
| M5 | Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.10 |
| M6 | Barnsley · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −2.78 |
| M7 | Hull · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.85 |
| M8 | Charlton · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.37 |
| M9 | Fulham · Away27 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.01 |
| M10 | Birmingham · Home1 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.46 |
| M11 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.33 |
| M12 | Nottingham Forest · Home20 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.27 |
| M13 | Derby · Away23 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.76 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Away27 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.75 |
| M15 | Swansea · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.05 |
| M16 | Brentford · Home9 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.19 |
| M17 | Stoke · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.07 |
| M18 | Millwall · Away26 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −4.03 |
| M19 | Reading · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.44 |
| M20 | Luton · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.73 |
| M21 | West Bromwich Albion · Home11 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −6.53 |
| M22 | Huddersfield · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −6.95 |
| M23 | Blackburn · Away23 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | −6.85 |
| M24 | Derby · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −7.31 |
| M25 | Nottingham Forest · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −8.21 |
| M26 | Birmingham · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | −6.32 |
| M27 | Bristol City · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.94 |
| M28 | Swansea · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −8.96 |
| M29 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home28 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −7.27 |
| M30 | Leeds · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.50 | −4.77 |
| M31 | Preston · Home8 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −6.09 |
| M32 | Middlesbrough · Home11 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −6.52 |
| M33 | Cardiff · Away15 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −6.44 |
| M34 | Millwall · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −4.79 |
| M35 | Reading · Away26 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −2.89 |
| M36 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | −0.54 |
| M37 | Luton · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −1.48 |
| M38 | Huddersfield · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.28 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Home27 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.86 |
| M40 | Stoke · Home30 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.48 |
| M41 | Brentford · Away4 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.85 |
| M42 | Queens Park Rangers · Home8 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.24 |
| M43 | Barnsley · Away11 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | +3.83 |
| M44 | Hull · Home14 Jul 2020 | W 8-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.97 |
| M45 | Charlton · Away18 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +4.38 |
| M46 | Fulham · Home22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.05 |
| Total | 59 | +4.05 | |||