Points
78Points expected by the market
64.88Gap
+13.12Yield
+22.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 31 | +7.77 | +48.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 42 | +7.76 | +26.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.41 | −33.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.42 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +5.08 | +15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 15 | +6.35 | +97.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.68 | +43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.41 | −33.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Luton · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.84 |
| M2 | Reading · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.07 |
| M3 | Coventry · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.55 |
| M4 | Middlesbrough · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.78 |
| M5 | Bristol City · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −5.19 |
| M6 | Stoke · Away21 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.06 |
| M7 | Millwall · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.03 |
| M8 | Queens Park Rangers · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.58 |
| M9 | Watford · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.80 |
| M10 | Cardiff · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.85 |
| M11 | Derby · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.07 |
| M12 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.53 |
| M13 | Brentford · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.63 |
| M14 | Blackburn · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.56 |
| M15 | Birmingham · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Home4 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.08 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Home9 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.06 |
| M18 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.54 |
| M19 | Preston · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.98 |
| M20 | Swansea · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.90 |
| M21 | Huddersfield · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.37 |
| M22 | Rotherham · Away29 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.75 |
| M23 | Norwich · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +3.93 |
| M24 | Swansea · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.66 |
| M25 | Watford · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.75 |
| M26 | Cardiff · Home27 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.33 |
| M27 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.06 |
| M28 | Brentford · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +3.27 |
| M29 | Blackburn · Home17 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.87 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.16 |
| M31 | Stoke · Home24 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +7.60 |
| M32 | Millwall · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +8.96 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Away3 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +10.51 |
| M34 | Birmingham · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +11.73 |
| M35 | Derby · Home10 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +10.92 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | +12.80 |
| M37 | Wycombe · Away17 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +13.82 |
| M38 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +11.91 |
| M39 | Reading · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +11.35 |
| M40 | Luton · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +12.70 |
| M41 | Middlesbrough · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +14.01 |
| M42 | Coventry · Away18 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +12.46 |
| M43 | Huddersfield · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +13.77 |
| M44 | Rotherham · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +14.86 |
| M45 | Preston · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +13.32 |
| M46 | Norwich · Home8 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +13.12 |
| Total | 78 | +13.12 | |||