Points
52Points expected by the market
54.35Gap
−2.35Yield
−2.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 2 | −4.86 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 32 | +2.18 | +2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 18 | +0.34 | +10.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.25 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.74 | −2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.73 | −16.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.92 | +11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 15 | +2.07 | +20.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brentford · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.04 |
| M2 | Swansea · Away19 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.94 |
| M3 | Rotherham · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.31 |
| M4 | Stoke · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.14 |
| M5 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.25 |
| M6 | Norwich · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.09 |
| M7 | Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.25 |
| M8 | Huddersfield · Home28 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.30 |
| M9 | Preston · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +2.28 |
| M10 | Wycombe · Home4 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +0.31 |
| M11 | Bournemouth · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.65 |
| M12 | Coventry · Away20 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.06 |
| M13 | Luton · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.32 |
| M14 | Millwall · Home28 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.65 |
| M15 | Barnsley · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.01 |
| M16 | Bristol City · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.22 |
| M17 | Reading · Away9 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.83 |
| M18 | Watford · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.19 |
| M19 | Cardiff · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.20 |
| M20 | Middlesbrough · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.43 |
| M21 | Nottingham Forest · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.51 |
| M22 | Derby · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.84 |
| M23 | Blackburn · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.90 |
| M24 | Middlesbrough · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −2.76 |
| M25 | Preston · Home20 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.14 |
| M26 | Coventry · Home30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.43 |
| M27 | Wycombe · Away2 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.04 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.85 |
| M29 | Luton · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −7.23 |
| M30 | Millwall · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −8.28 |
| M31 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −6.58 |
| M32 | Norwich · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.31 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −5.62 |
| M34 | Huddersfield · Away2 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −5.89 |
| M35 | Barnsley · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −6.81 |
| M36 | Bristol City · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −8.47 |
| M37 | Reading · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −6.63 |
| M38 | Watford · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −7.41 |
| M39 | Swansea · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −5.62 |
| M40 | Brentford · Away6 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −5.37 |
| M41 | Stoke · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.69 |
| M42 | Rotherham · Away18 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.01 |
| M43 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.41 |
| M44 | Derby · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.49 |
| M45 | Cardiff · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.68 |
| M46 | Blackburn · Away8 May 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.66 | −2.35 |
| Total | 52 | −2.35 | |||