Points
57Points expected by the market
68.70Gap
−11.70Yield
−29.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 33 | −1.83 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 19 | −9.03 | −36.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −0.35 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.26 | −68.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.48 | −15.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.77 | −19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Wycombe · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.07 |
| M3 | Derby · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.46 |
| M4 | Cardiff · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.86 |
| M5 | Nottingham Forest · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.78 |
| M6 | Watford · Away21 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.84 |
| M7 | Coventry · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.43 |
| M8 | Reading · Home27 Oct 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.15 |
| M9 | Swansea · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.43 |
| M10 | Middlesbrough · Home3 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −3.92 |
| M11 | Queens Park Rangers · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.61 |
| M12 | Luton · Away21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.29 |
| M13 | Preston · Away24 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.67 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.47 |
| M15 | Millwall · Home2 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.88 |
| M16 | Brentford · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.90 |
| M17 | Bristol City · Away9 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.61 |
| M18 | Norwich · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.04 |
| M19 | Rotherham · Home16 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.96 |
| M20 | Stoke · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.41 |
| M21 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home26 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −3.35 |
| M22 | Huddersfield · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −5.04 |
| M23 | Birmingham · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.70 |
| M24 | Stoke · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −4.43 |
| M25 | Middlesbrough · Away24 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −2.64 |
| M26 | Luton · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −1.42 |
| M27 | Queens Park Rangers · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.86 |
| M28 | Preston · Home12 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −4.62 |
| M29 | Barnsley · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.93 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −7.22 |
| M31 | Watford · Home24 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −8.37 |
| M32 | Coventry · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −8.99 |
| M33 | Reading · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −10.19 |
| M34 | Millwall · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −8.42 |
| M35 | Swansea · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −8.69 |
| M36 | Brentford · Home12 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −9.84 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home17 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | −10.72 |
| M38 | Norwich · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −10.36 |
| M39 | Wycombe · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −12.22 |
| M40 | Bournemouth · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −13.42 |
| M41 | Cardiff · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −13.71 |
| M42 | Derby · Home16 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −12.29 |
| M43 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −13.66 |
| M44 | Huddersfield · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −12.26 |
| M45 | Rotherham · Away1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −12.58 |
| M46 | Birmingham · Home8 May 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.88 | −11.70 |
| Total | 57 | −11.70 | |||