Points
77Points expected by the market
79.48Gap
−2.48Yield
−3.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.69 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 45 | −3.08 | −8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | −0.63 | −11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.92 | +251.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.69 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 30 | +1.64 | +9.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.51 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.72 | −33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +0.88 | −16.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.92 | +251.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackburn · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.32 |
| M2 | Middlesbrough · Away19 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +0.85 |
| M3 | Norwich · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.34 |
| M4 | Coventry · Away2 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.83 |
| M5 | Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | +2.84 |
| M6 | Cardiff · Away21 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.34 |
| M7 | Watford · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.04 |
| M8 | Bristol City · Home28 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.16 |
| M9 | Derby · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.18 |
| M10 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | +0.46 |
| M11 | Birmingham · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.69 |
| M12 | Reading · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.85 |
| M13 | Nottingham Forest · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.91 |
| M14 | Rotherham · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +2.98 |
| M15 | Preston · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.94 | +1.03 |
| M16 | Barnsley · Away4 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.51 |
| M17 | Swansea · Away8 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.07 |
| M18 | Huddersfield · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.91 |
| M19 | Wycombe · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +3.52 |
| M20 | Luton · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +2.68 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away30 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.45 |
| M22 | Stoke · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.88 |
| M23 | Millwall · Home12 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +2.01 |
| M24 | Luton · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | +0.01 |
| M25 | Derby · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.63 |
| M26 | Reading · Away29 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.24 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.15 | −5.38 |
| M28 | Birmingham · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.08 | −4.30 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.83 |
| M30 | Rotherham · Home17 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −3.70 |
| M31 | Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.21 |
| M32 | Cardiff · Home24 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −6.75 |
| M33 | Watford · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −5.08 |
| M34 | Bristol City · Away3 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −3.91 |
| M35 | Preston · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −4.57 |
| M36 | Barnsley · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −6.16 |
| M37 | Swansea · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.82 |
| M38 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −3.53 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.05 |
| M40 | Coventry · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −1.05 |
| M41 | Huddersfield · Away13 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.11 |
| M42 | Norwich · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.03 |
| M43 | Millwall · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.15 |
| M44 | Brentford · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.61 |
| M45 | Wycombe · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | −0.38 |
| M46 | Stoke · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.09 | −2.48 |
| Total | 77 | −2.48 | |||