Points
87Points expected by the market
82.37Gap
+4.63Yield
0.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.06 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 30 | 49 | −7.02 | −29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 26 | +8.59 | +59.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.32 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 30 | −4.64 | −34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.96 | +132.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 19 | −2.38 | −21.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +5.62 | +45.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −1.76 |
| M2 | Huddersfield · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.87 |
| M3 | Millwall · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.63 |
| M4 | Preston · Home4 Oct 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.52 |
| M5 | Coventry · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −2.66 |
| M6 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away21 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.24 |
| M7 | Stoke · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.77 |
| M8 | Norwich · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.35 |
| M9 | Luton · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −2.22 |
| M10 | Swansea · Home3 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −3.08 |
| M11 | Middlesbrough · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −3.89 |
| M12 | Wycombe · Away21 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.12 | −5.01 |
| M13 | Barnsley · Away24 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.56 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Home27 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −2.54 |
| M15 | Rotherham · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −1.51 |
| M16 | Blackburn · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −2.27 |
| M17 | Derby · Home9 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | −3.31 |
| M18 | Nottingham Forest · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −1.96 |
| M19 | Watford · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.28 |
| M20 | Reading · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.09 |
| M21 | Cardiff · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.40 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Home30 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.91 |
| M23 | Luton · Home20 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.88 |
| M24 | Swansea · Away27 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.40 |
| M25 | Wycombe · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.65 | +3.05 |
| M26 | Bristol City · Home3 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.81 | +3.85 |
| M27 | Middlesbrough · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.32 |
| M28 | Reading · Away10 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +6.66 |
| M29 | Barnsley · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +4.69 |
| M30 | Queens Park Rangers · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +2.96 |
| M31 | Coventry · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +1.32 |
| M32 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home24 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.35 |
| M33 | Stoke · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.50 |
| M34 | Norwich · Away3 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.37 |
| M35 | Blackburn · Away12 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.80 |
| M36 | Derby · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +3.14 |
| M37 | Nottingham Forest · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.16 |
| M38 | Huddersfield · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +1.38 |
| M39 | Birmingham · Home6 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | +0.39 |
| M40 | Preston · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.61 |
| M41 | Millwall · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.07 | +0.54 |
| M42 | Cardiff · Home20 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.44 |
| M43 | Bournemouth · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.38 |
| M44 | Rotherham · Home27 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.44 |
| M45 | Watford · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.88 |
| M46 | Bristol City · Away8 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.63 |
| Total | 87 | +4.63 | |||