← Championship 2020-21

Bristol City

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

52.05

Gap

−1.05

Yield

+7.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.76	+1.24	+91.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	34	31.37	+2.63	+16.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	21	14	18.92	−4.92	−6.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.76	+1.24	+91.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	21	20.08	+0.92	+4.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	0	6.70	−6.70	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	13	11.29	+1.71	+36.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	14	12.22	+1.78	+40.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Coventry · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 2-1	2.29	1.54	3	+1.46	+1.46	+€1.29
M2	Stoke · Away20 Sep 2020	20 Sep 2020	W 2-0	4.11	0.97	3	+2.03	+3.50	+€3.11
M3	Sheffield Wednesday · Home27 Sep 2020	27 Sep 2020	W 2-0	2.83	1.31	3	+1.69	+5.19	+€1.83
M4	Nottingham Forest · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 2-1	2.78	1.32	3	+1.68	+6.86	+€1.78
M5	Barnsley · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	D 2-2	2.83	1.30	1	−0.30	+6.56	−€1.00
M6	Middlesbrough · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.38	1.49	0	−1.49	+5.07	−€1.00
M7	Swansea · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.69	1.36	1	−0.36	+4.71	−€1.00
M8	Bournemouth · Away28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	L 0-1	4.76	0.86	0	−0.86	+3.85	−€1.00
M9	Norwich · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 1-3	3.07	1.21	0	−1.21	+2.64	−€1.00
M10	Huddersfield · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	W 2-1	2.86	1.30	3	+1.70	+4.34	+€1.86
M11	Cardiff · Away6 Nov 2020	6 Nov 2020	W 1-0	3.40	1.13	3	+1.87	+6.21	+€2.40
M12	Derby · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 1-0	2.31	1.52	3	+1.48	+7.70	+€1.31
M13	Watford · Home25 Nov 2020	25 Nov 2020	D 0-0	3.07	1.23	1	−0.23	+7.47	−€1.00
M14	Reading · Away28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	L 1-3	3.22	1.18	0	−1.18	+6.29	−€1.00
M15	Queens Park Rangers · Away1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	W 2-1	3.24	1.15	3	+1.85	+8.13	+€2.24
M16	Birmingham · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.40	1.49	0	−1.49	+6.65	−€1.00
M17	Blackburn · Home9 Dec 2020	9 Dec 2020	W 1-0	3.04	1.21	3	+1.79	+8.43	+€2.04
M18	Rotherham · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 0-2	2.51	1.42	0	−1.42	+7.02	−€1.00
M19	Millwall · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	L 0-2	3.10	1.23	0	−1.23	+5.78	−€1.00
M20	Preston · Away18 Dec 2020	18 Dec 2020	L 0-1	3.37	1.14	0	−1.14	+4.65	−€1.00
M21	Wycombe · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	W 2-1	1.91	1.76	3	+1.24	+5.89	+€0.91
M22	Luton · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	L 1-2	3.60	1.08	0	−1.08	+4.81	−€1.00
M23	Preston · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	W 2-0	2.78	1.33	3	+1.67	+6.48	+€1.78
M24	Norwich · Away20 Jan 2021	20 Jan 2021	L 0-2	6.35	0.68	0	−0.68	+5.80	−€1.00
M25	Huddersfield · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	W 2-1	2.40	1.48	3	+1.52	+7.32	+€1.40
M26	Derby · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	L 0-1	4.37	0.94	0	−0.94	+6.38	−€1.00
M27	Brentford · Away3 Feb 2021	3 Feb 2021	L 2-3	7.61	0.59	0	−0.59	+5.79	−€1.00
M28	Cardiff · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	L 0-2	3.87	1.02	0	−1.02	+4.77	−€1.00
M29	Watford · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	L 0-6	6.36	0.69	0	−0.69	+4.08	−€1.00
M30	Reading · Home16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	L 0-2	3.63	1.08	0	−1.08	+3.00	−€1.00
M31	Barnsley · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-1	3.93	1.01	0	−1.01	+2.00	−€1.00
M32	Middlesbrough · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 3-1	6.02	0.73	3	+2.27	+4.27	+€5.02
M33	Swansea · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 3-1	5.62	0.78	3	+2.22	+6.49	+€4.62
M34	Bournemouth · Home3 Mar 2021	3 Mar 2021	L 1-2	4.43	0.91	0	−0.91	+5.58	−€1.00
M35	Queens Park Rangers · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 0-2	3.24	1.16	0	−1.16	+4.42	−€1.00
M36	Birmingham · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 3-0	3.85	1.04	3	+1.96	+6.38	+€2.85
M37	Blackburn · Away17 Mar 2021	17 Mar 2021	D 0-0	4.76	0.86	1	+0.14	+6.52	−€1.00
M38	Rotherham · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.53	1.41	0	−1.41	+5.11	−€1.00
M39	Stoke · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-2	3.56	1.10	0	−1.10	+4.01	−€1.00
M40	Coventry · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 1-3	3.66	1.08	0	−1.08	+2.93	−€1.00
M41	Nottingham Forest · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	D 0-0	3.46	1.12	1	−0.12	+2.81	−€1.00
M42	Sheffield Wednesday · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	D 1-1	4.17	0.96	1	+0.04	+2.86	−€1.00
M43	Wycombe · Away21 Apr 2021	21 Apr 2021	L 1-2	2.68	1.35	0	−1.35	+1.50	−€1.00
M44	Luton · Home25 Apr 2021	25 Apr 2021	L 2-3	3.76	1.04	0	−1.04	+0.47	−€1.00
M45	Millwall · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	L 1-4	4.18	0.97	0	−0.97	−0.50	−€1.00
M46	Brentford · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	L 1-3	7.91	0.55	0	−0.55	−1.05	−€1.00
Total					52.05	51	−1.05		+€3.44