← Championship 2020-21

Cardiff

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5DDWWD

Points

Points expected by the market

65.49

Gap

+2.51

Yield

−4.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	28	20.63	+7.37	+47.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	30	35	41.04	−6.04	−24.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	3.83	+1.17	−11.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	24	15.54	+8.46	+74.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	6	19.74	−13.74	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	5.08	−1.08	−32.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	29	21.30	+7.70	+42.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	3.83	+1.17	−11.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sheffield Wednesday · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	L 0-2	2.36	1.51	0	−1.51	−1.51	−€1.00
M2	Nottingham Forest · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	W 2-0	2.95	1.27	3	+1.73	+0.22	+€1.95
M3	Reading · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 1-2	2.27	1.55	0	−1.55	−1.33	−€1.00
M4	Blackburn · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	D 0-0	3.44	1.11	1	−0.11	−1.44	−€1.00
M5	Preston · Away18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	W 1-0	3.31	1.15	3	+1.85	+0.41	+€2.31
M6	Bournemouth · Home21 Oct 2020	21 Oct 2020	D 1-1	3.11	1.21	1	−0.21	+0.20	−€1.00
M7	Middlesbrough · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.34	1.52	1	−0.52	−0.32	−€1.00
M8	Derby · Away28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.54	1.43	1	−0.43	−0.74	−€1.00
M9	Queens Park Rangers · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 2-3	2.46	1.45	0	−1.45	−2.20	−€1.00
M10	Barnsley · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	W 3-0	2.05	1.67	3	+1.33	−0.87	+€1.05
M11	Bristol City · Home6 Nov 2020	6 Nov 2020	L 0-1	2.21	1.58	0	−1.58	−2.45	−€1.00
M12	Millwall · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	D 1-1	3.00	1.27	1	−0.27	−2.72	−€1.00
M13	Coventry · Away25 Nov 2020	25 Nov 2020	L 0-1	2.30	1.53	0	−1.53	−4.26	−€1.00
M14	Luton · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	W 4-0	1.92	1.77	3	+1.23	−3.02	+€0.92
M15	Huddersfield · Home1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	W 3-0	1.78	1.86	3	+1.14	−1.88	+€0.78
M16	Watford · Away5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 1-0	3.55	1.08	3	+1.92	+0.03	+€2.55
M17	Stoke · Away8 Dec 2020	8 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.64	1.39	3	+1.61	+1.64	+€1.64
M18	Swansea · Home12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 0-2	2.42	1.49	0	−1.49	+0.16	−€1.00
M19	Birmingham · Home16 Dec 2020	16 Dec 2020	W 3-2	2.06	1.69	3	+1.31	+1.47	+€1.06
M20	Norwich · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-2	4.20	0.94	0	−0.94	+0.53	−€1.00
M21	Brentford · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	L 2-3	3.26	1.18	0	−1.18	−0.65	−€1.00
M22	Wycombe · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	L 1-2	1.90	1.77	0	−1.77	−2.42	−€1.00
M23	Norwich · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 1-2	3.21	1.16	0	−1.16	−3.58	−€1.00
M24	Queens Park Rangers · Home20 Jan 2021	20 Jan 2021	L 0-1	2.16	1.60	0	−1.60	−5.18	−€1.00
M25	Barnsley · Away27 Jan 2021	27 Jan 2021	D 2-2	3.00	1.26	1	−0.26	−5.44	−€1.00
M26	Millwall · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.39	1.51	1	−0.51	−5.95	−€1.00
M27	Bristol City · Away6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.02	1.69	3	+1.31	−4.65	+€1.02
M28	Rotherham · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 2-1	2.45	1.46	3	+1.54	−3.10	+€1.45
M29	Coventry · Home13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 3-1	2.10	1.65	3	+1.35	−1.75	+€1.10
M30	Luton · Away16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.58	1.41	3	+1.59	−0.16	+€1.58
M31	Preston · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 4-0	1.99	1.71	3	+1.29	+1.12	+€0.99
M32	Bournemouth · Away24 Feb 2021	24 Feb 2021	W 2-1	3.27	1.17	3	+1.83	+2.96	+€2.27
M33	Middlesbrough · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.88	1.30	1	−0.30	+2.66	−€1.00
M34	Derby · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 4-0	2.11	1.65	3	+1.35	+4.00	+€1.11
M35	Huddersfield · Away5 Mar 2021	5 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.14	1.62	1	−0.62	+3.38	−€1.00
M36	Watford · Home13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 1-2	3.07	1.24	0	−1.24	+2.14	−€1.00
M37	Stoke · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.42	1.49	1	−0.49	+1.66	−€1.00
M38	Swansea · Away20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.19	1.20	3	+1.80	+3.46	+€2.19
M39	Nottingham Forest · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.20	1.60	0	−1.60	+1.86	−€1.00
M40	Sheffield Wednesday · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-5	2.66	1.38	0	−1.38	+0.48	−€1.00
M41	Blackburn · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	D 2-2	2.56	1.41	1	−0.41	+0.06	−€1.00
M42	Reading · Away16 Apr 2021	16 Apr 2021	D 1-1	3.76	1.04	1	−0.04	+0.03	−€1.00
M43	Brentford · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	D 1-1	5.53	0.76	1	+0.24	+0.26	−€1.00
M44	Wycombe · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 2-1	1.69	1.93	3	+1.07	+1.33	+€0.69
M45	Birmingham · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 4-0	2.35	1.51	3	+1.49	+2.82	+€1.35
M46	Rotherham · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	D 1-1	2.76	1.30	1	−0.30	+2.51	−€1.00
Total					65.49	68	+2.51		−€1.99