← Championship 2020-21

Coventry

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWLDW

Points

Points expected by the market

57.32

Gap

−2.32

Yield

−15.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	11	8.53	+2.47	+26.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	26	34	34.12	−0.12	−4.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	10	14.67	−4.67	−49.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	11	8.53	+2.47	+26.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	21	18.62	+2.38	+20.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	4.06	+0.94	−9.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	13	15.49	−2.49	−33.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	5	10.61	−5.61	−63.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Bristol City · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	L 1-2	3.23	1.17	0	−1.17	−1.17	−€1.00
M2	Queens Park Rangers · Home18 Sep 2020	18 Sep 2020	W 3-2	2.34	1.51	3	+1.49	+0.32	+€1.34
M3	Barnsley · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	D 0-0	3.05	1.23	1	−0.23	+0.09	−€1.00
M4	Bournemouth · Home2 Oct 2020	2 Oct 2020	L 1-3	3.17	1.19	0	−1.19	−1.10	−€1.00
M5	Brentford · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 0-2	6.58	0.65	0	−0.65	−1.75	−€1.00
M6	Swansea · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	D 1-1	3.54	1.09	1	−0.09	−1.84	−€1.00
M7	Blackburn · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 0-4	3.34	1.13	0	−1.13	−2.96	−€1.00
M8	Middlesbrough · Away27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	L 0-2	3.91	1.02	0	−1.02	−3.98	−€1.00
M9	Reading · Home30 Oct 2020	30 Oct 2020	W 3-2	2.86	1.31	3	+1.69	−2.29	+€1.86
M10	Nottingham Forest · Away4 Nov 2020	4 Nov 2020	L 1-2	3.91	1.03	0	−1.03	−3.31	−€1.00
M11	Watford · Away7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	L 2-3	4.78	0.87	0	−0.87	−4.18	−€1.00
M12	Birmingham · Home20 Nov 2020	20 Nov 2020	D 0-0	2.90	1.29	1	−0.29	−4.47	−€1.00
M13	Cardiff · Home25 Nov 2020	25 Nov 2020	W 1-0	3.24	1.17	3	+1.83	−2.64	+€2.24
M14	Norwich · Away28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	D 1-1	4.09	0.96	1	+0.04	−2.60	−€1.00
M15	Derby · Away1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	D 1-1	3.10	1.22	1	−0.22	−2.82	−€1.00
M16	Rotherham · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 3-1	2.03	1.68	3	+1.32	−1.50	+€1.03
M17	Luton · Home8 Dec 2020	8 Dec 2020	D 0-0	2.08	1.66	1	−0.66	−2.16	−€1.00
M18	Wycombe · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.33	1.51	3	+1.49	−0.67	+€1.33
M19	Huddersfield · Home16 Dec 2020	16 Dec 2020	D 0-0	2.40	1.48	1	−0.48	−1.15	−€1.00
M20	Sheffield Wednesday · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.97	1.27	0	−1.27	−2.42	−€1.00
M21	Stoke · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	D 0-0	2.73	1.37	1	−0.37	−2.78	−€1.00
M22	Preston · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	L 0-2	3.25	1.18	0	−1.18	−3.97	−€1.00
M23	Millwall · Away2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	W 2-1	4.01	1.03	3	+1.97	−1.99	+€3.01
M24	Reading · Away19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	L 0-3	3.53	1.11	0	−1.11	−3.10	−€1.00
M25	Sheffield Wednesday · Home27 Jan 2021	27 Jan 2021	W 2-0	2.10	1.65	3	+1.35	−1.75	+€1.10
M26	Birmingham · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.71	1.38	1	−0.38	−2.13	−€1.00
M27	Nottingham Forest · Home2 Feb 2021	2 Feb 2021	L 1-2	2.67	1.38	0	−1.38	−3.51	−€1.00
M28	Watford · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 0-0	3.70	1.07	1	−0.07	−3.58	−€1.00
M29	Cardiff · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	L 1-3	3.76	1.05	0	−1.05	−4.63	−€1.00
M30	Norwich · Home17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	L 0-2	4.93	0.83	0	−0.83	−5.46	−€1.00
M31	Brentford · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 2-0	3.63	1.07	3	+1.93	−3.53	+€2.63
M32	Swansea · Away24 Feb 2021	24 Feb 2021	L 0-1	3.73	1.06	0	−1.06	−4.60	−€1.00
M33	Blackburn · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	3.59	1.09	1	−0.09	−4.69	−€1.00
M34	Middlesbrough · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	L 1-2	2.96	1.27	0	−1.27	−5.96	−€1.00
M35	Derby · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.57	1.43	3	+1.57	−4.38	+€1.57
M36	Luton · Away16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.49	1.46	0	−1.46	−5.84	−€1.00
M37	Wycombe · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	D 0-0	1.71	1.93	1	−0.93	−6.77	−€1.00
M38	Queens Park Rangers · Away2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-3	3.29	1.15	0	−1.15	−7.92	−€1.00
M39	Bristol City · Home5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 3-1	2.18	1.61	3	+1.39	−6.53	+€1.18
M40	Bournemouth · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 1-4	5.67	0.75	0	−0.75	−7.28	−€1.00
M41	Rotherham · Away15 Apr 2021	15 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.89	1.28	3	+1.72	−5.57	+€1.89
M42	Barnsley · Home18 Apr 2021	18 Apr 2021	W 2-0	3.35	1.15	3	+1.85	−3.72	+€2.35
M43	Stoke · Away21 Apr 2021	21 Apr 2021	W 3-2	2.81	1.33	3	+1.67	−2.05	+€1.81
M44	Preston · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.32	1.53	0	−1.53	−3.58	−€1.00
M45	Huddersfield · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	D 1-1	2.78	1.32	1	−0.32	−3.90	−€1.00
M46	Millwall · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 6-1	2.53	1.42	3	+1.58	−2.32	+€1.53
Total					57.32	55	−2.32		−€7.13