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← Championship 2020-21

Derby

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLLD

Points

44

Points expected by the market

59.37

Gap

−15.37

Yield

−30.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 10 11.90 −1.90 −12.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 25 20 34.26 −14.26 −45.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 14 14 13.21 +0.79 −12.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Reading · Home12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 L 0-2 2.54 1.41 0 −1.41 −1.41 −€1.00
M2 Luton · Away19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 L 1-2 2.73 1.35 0 −1.35 −2.76 −€1.00
M3 Blackburn · Home26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 L 0-4 3.01 1.24 0 −1.24 −4.00 −€1.00
M4 Norwich · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 W 1-0 4.83 0.83 3 +2.17 −1.83 +€3.83
M5 Watford · Home16 Oct 2020 16 Oct 2020 L 0-1 3.54 1.11 0 −1.11 −2.95 −€1.00
M6 Huddersfield · Away20 Oct 2020 20 Oct 2020 L 0-1 3.14 1.21 0 −1.21 −4.16 −€1.00
M7 Nottingham Forest · Away23 Oct 2020 23 Oct 2020 D 1-1 3.97 1.01 1 −0.01 −4.18 −€1.00
M8 Cardiff · Home28 Oct 2020 28 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.96 1.27 1 −0.27 −4.44 −€1.00
M9 Bournemouth · Away31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 D 1-1 5.46 0.78 1 +0.22 −4.22 −€1.00
M10 Queens Park Rangers · Home4 Nov 2020 4 Nov 2020 L 0-1 2.10 1.64 0 −1.64 −5.86 −€1.00
M11 Barnsley · Home7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 L 0-2 2.39 1.48 0 −1.48 −7.35 −€1.00
M12 Bristol City · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 L 0-1 3.12 1.20 0 −1.20 −8.54 −€1.00
M13 Middlesbrough · Away25 Nov 2020 25 Nov 2020 L 0-3 4.22 0.96 0 −0.96 −9.51 −€1.00
M14 Wycombe · Home28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 D 1-1 1.79 1.86 1 −0.86 −10.36 −€1.00
M15 Coventry · Home1 Dec 2020 1 Dec 2020 D 1-1 2.39 1.49 1 −0.49 −10.85 −€1.00
M16 Millwall · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 W 1-0 3.88 1.03 3 +1.97 −8.89 +€2.88
M17 Brentford · Away9 Dec 2020 9 Dec 2020 D 0-0 5.95 0.72 1 +0.28 −8.60 −€1.00
M18 Stoke · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 D 0-0 2.75 1.34 1 −0.34 −8.95 −€1.00
M19 Swansea · Home16 Dec 2020 16 Dec 2020 W 2-0 3.13 1.22 3 +1.78 −7.16 +€2.13
M20 Preston · Home26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 L 0-1 2.19 1.59 0 −1.59 −8.76 −€1.00
M21 Birmingham · Away29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 W 4-0 2.79 1.35 3 +1.65 −7.11 +€1.79
M22 Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Jan 2021 1 Jan 2021 L 0-1 2.25 1.57 0 −1.57 −8.68 −€1.00
M23 Rotherham · Home16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 L 0-1 1.96 1.74 0 −1.74 −10.41 −€1.00
M24 Bournemouth · Home19 Jan 2021 19 Jan 2021 W 1-0 3.61 1.07 3 +1.93 −8.49 +€2.61
M25 Queens Park Rangers · Away23 Jan 2021 23 Jan 2021 W 1-0 2.77 1.33 3 +1.67 −6.82 +€1.77
M26 Bristol City · Home30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 W 1-0 1.91 1.78 3 +1.22 −5.59 +€0.91
M27 Rotherham · Away3 Feb 2021 3 Feb 2021 L 0-3 2.46 1.45 0 −1.45 −7.05 −€1.00
M28 Middlesbrough · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.74 1.35 3 +1.65 −5.40 +€1.74
M29 Wycombe · Away16 Feb 2021 16 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.05 1.68 3 +1.32 −4.08 +€1.05
M30 Watford · Away19 Feb 2021 19 Feb 2021 L 1-2 4.75 0.88 0 −0.88 −4.95 −€1.00
M31 Huddersfield · Home23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 W 2-0 2.17 1.61 3 +1.39 −3.56 +€1.17
M32 Nottingham Forest · Home26 Feb 2021 26 Feb 2021 D 1-1 2.64 1.41 1 −0.41 −3.97 −€1.00
M33 Cardiff · Away2 Mar 2021 2 Mar 2021 L 0-4 3.86 1.04 0 −1.04 −5.01 −€1.00
M34 Coventry · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 L 0-1 3.03 1.26 0 −1.26 −6.26 −€1.00
M35 Barnsley · Away10 Mar 2021 10 Mar 2021 D 0-0 4.61 0.90 1 +0.10 −6.17 −€1.00
M36 Millwall · Home13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 L 0-1 2.68 1.39 0 −1.39 −7.56 −€1.00
M37 Brentford · Home16 Mar 2021 16 Mar 2021 D 2-2 3.84 1.04 1 −0.04 −7.60 −€1.00
M38 Stoke · Away20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 L 0-1 3.30 1.17 0 −1.17 −8.77 −€1.00
M39 Luton · Home2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 W 2-0 2.22 1.58 3 +1.42 −7.36 +€1.22
M40 Reading · Away5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 L 1-3 3.67 1.07 0 −1.07 −8.43 −€1.00
M41 Norwich · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 L 0-1 5.42 0.76 0 −0.76 −9.19 −€1.00
M42 Blackburn · Away16 Apr 2021 16 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.43 1.13 0 −1.13 −10.31 −€1.00
M43 Preston · Away20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 L 0-3 2.49 1.45 0 −1.45 −11.77 −€1.00
M44 Birmingham · Home24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.21 1.60 0 −1.60 −13.37 −€1.00
M45 Swansea · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 1-2 2.44 1.47 0 −1.47 −14.84 −€1.00
M46 Sheffield Wednesday · Home8 May 2021 8 May 2021 D 3-3 2.30 1.53 1 −0.53 −15.37 −€1.00
Total 59.37 44 −15.37 −€13.90