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← Championship 2020-21

Luton

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWDDL

Points

62

Points expected by the market

52.80

Gap

+9.20

Yield

+20.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 12 6.72 +5.28 +104.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 19 31 24.57 +6.43 +23.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 23 19 21.51 −2.51 +3.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Barnsley · Away12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 W 1-0 4.51 0.89 3 +2.11 +2.11 +€3.51
M2 Derby · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 W 2-1 2.75 1.34 3 +1.66 +3.76 +€1.75
M3 Watford · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 L 0-1 4.69 0.88 0 −0.88 +2.88 −€1.00
M4 Wycombe · Home3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 W 2-0 1.86 1.81 3 +1.19 +4.07 +€0.86
M5 Stoke · Home17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 0-2 3.64 1.07 0 −1.07 +3.00 −€1.00
M6 Millwall · Away20 Oct 2020 20 Oct 2020 L 0-2 4.22 0.97 0 −0.97 +2.04 −€1.00
M7 Sheffield Wednesday · Away24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 W 1-0 4.34 0.94 3 +2.06 +4.10 +€3.34
M8 Nottingham Forest · Home28 Oct 2020 28 Oct 2020 D 1-1 3.66 1.07 1 −0.07 +4.03 −€1.00
M9 Brentford · Home31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 0-3 4.69 0.87 0 −0.87 +3.16 −€1.00
M10 Rotherham · Away4 Nov 2020 4 Nov 2020 W 1-0 3.21 1.19 3 +1.81 +4.97 +€2.21
M11 Huddersfield · Away7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.43 1.12 1 −0.12 +4.85 −€1.00
M12 Blackburn · Home21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.61 1.06 1 −0.06 +4.79 −€1.00
M13 Birmingham · Home24 Nov 2020 24 Nov 2020 D 1-1 2.57 1.43 1 −0.43 +4.37 −€1.00
M14 Cardiff · Away28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 L 0-4 4.33 0.94 0 −0.94 +3.42 −€1.00
M15 Norwich · Home2 Dec 2020 2 Dec 2020 W 3-1 3.42 1.10 3 +1.90 +5.32 +€2.42
M16 Swansea · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 0-2 4.94 0.84 0 −0.84 +4.48 −€1.00
M17 Coventry · Away8 Dec 2020 8 Dec 2020 D 0-0 3.68 1.06 1 −0.06 +4.42 −€1.00
M18 Preston · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 W 3-0 2.70 1.35 3 +1.65 +6.07 +€1.70
M19 Middlesbrough · Away16 Dec 2020 16 Dec 2020 L 0-1 4.18 0.96 0 −0.96 +5.11 −€1.00
M20 Bournemouth · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 D 0-0 4.49 0.90 1 +0.10 +5.21 −€1.00
M21 Reading · Away26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 L 1-2 3.10 1.23 0 −1.23 +3.98 −€1.00
M22 Bristol City · Home29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 W 2-1 2.12 1.63 3 +1.37 +5.35 +€1.12
M23 Queens Park Rangers · Home12 Jan 2021 12 Jan 2021 L 0-2 2.40 1.47 0 −1.47 +3.88 −€1.00
M24 Bournemouth · Away16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 W 1-0 5.66 0.75 3 +2.25 +6.13 +€4.66
M25 Brentford · Away20 Jan 2021 20 Jan 2021 L 0-1 6.23 0.71 0 −0.71 +5.42 −€1.00
M26 Blackburn · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 L 0-1 4.28 0.94 0 −0.94 +4.47 −€1.00
M27 Huddersfield · Home6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 D 1-1 2.37 1.50 1 −0.50 +3.97 −€1.00
M28 Birmingham · Away13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.89 1.30 3 +1.70 +5.67 +€1.89
M29 Cardiff · Home16 Feb 2021 16 Feb 2021 L 0-2 2.94 1.28 0 −1.28 +4.39 −€1.00
M30 Stoke · Away20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 L 0-3 3.65 1.09 0 −1.09 +3.30 −€1.00
M31 Millwall · Home23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 D 1-1 3.06 1.24 1 −0.24 +3.06 −€1.00
M32 Sheffield Wednesday · Home27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 W 3-2 2.33 1.53 3 +1.47 +4.53 +€1.33
M33 Nottingham Forest · Away2 Mar 2021 2 Mar 2021 W 1-0 4.49 0.92 3 +2.08 +6.61 +€3.49
M34 Norwich · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 L 0-3 9.10 0.50 0 −0.50 +6.11 −€1.00
M35 Swansea · Home13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 L 0-1 3.55 1.10 0 −1.10 +5.01 −€1.00
M36 Coventry · Home16 Mar 2021 16 Mar 2021 W 2-0 3.09 1.23 3 +1.77 +6.78 +€2.09
M37 Preston · Away20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 W 1-0 3.02 1.24 3 +1.76 +8.53 +€2.02
M38 Derby · Away2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 L 0-2 3.50 1.11 0 −1.11 +7.42 −€1.00
M39 Barnsley · Home5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.58 1.08 0 −1.08 +6.34 −€1.00
M40 Wycombe · Away10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 3-1 2.18 1.59 3 +1.41 +7.75 +€1.18
M41 Watford · Home17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 W 1-0 4.84 0.85 3 +2.15 +9.90 +€3.84
M42 Reading · Home21 Apr 2021 21 Apr 2021 D 0-0 3.38 1.12 1 −0.12 +9.78 −€1.00
M43 Bristol City · Away25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 W 3-2 2.03 1.68 3 +1.32 +11.10 +€1.03
M44 Middlesbrough · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 D 1-1 2.60 1.39 1 −0.39 +10.71 −€1.00
M45 Rotherham · Home4 May 2021 4 May 2021 D 0-0 2.66 1.35 1 −0.35 +10.36 −€1.00
M46 Queens Park Rangers · Away8 May 2021 8 May 2021 L 1-3 3.18 1.16 0 −1.16 +9.20 −€1.00
Total 52.80 62 +9.20 +€9.44