← Championship 2020-21

Millwall

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLLWL

Points

Points expected by the market

61.90

Gap

+0.10

Yield

−16.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	15	17.53	−2.53	−22.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	25	38	34.02	+3.98	+7.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	9	10.35	−1.35	−65.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	12	15.60	−3.60	−32.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	16	14.37	+1.63	+1.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	3	3.95	−0.95	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.93	+1.07	+71.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	22	19.65	+2.35	+11.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	6	6.40	−0.40	−45.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Stoke · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	D 0-0	2.59	1.42	1	−0.42	−0.42	−€1.00
M2	Rotherham · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	W 1-0	2.50	1.45	3	+1.55	+1.13	+€1.50
M3	Brentford · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	D 1-1	4.13	0.97	1	+0.03	+1.17	−€1.00
M4	Swansea · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.25	1.18	0	−1.18	−0.01	−€1.00
M5	Wycombe · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-1	1.71	1.93	3	+1.07	+1.05	+€0.71
M6	Luton · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.96	1.74	3	+1.26	+2.31	+€0.96
M7	Barnsley · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	1.95	1.75	1	−0.75	+1.56	−€1.00
M8	Preston · Away28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	W 2-0	3.12	1.22	3	+1.78	+3.34	+€2.12
M9	Huddersfield · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 0-3	1.81	1.86	0	−1.86	+1.48	−€1.00
M10	Norwich · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 0-0	3.77	1.03	1	−0.03	+1.46	−€1.00
M11	Sheffield Wednesday · Away7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	D 0-0	2.53	1.44	1	−0.44	+1.02	−€1.00
M12	Cardiff · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.63	1.41	1	−0.41	+0.61	−€1.00
M13	Reading · Home25 Nov 2020	25 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.39	1.51	1	−0.51	+0.10	−€1.00
M14	Birmingham · Away28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	D 0-0	2.85	1.33	1	−0.33	−0.23	−€1.00
M15	Blackburn · Away2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	L 1-2	3.66	1.06	0	−1.06	−1.29	−€1.00
M16	Derby · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.08	1.67	0	−1.67	−2.96	−€1.00
M17	Queens Park Rangers · Home8 Dec 2020	8 Dec 2020	D 1-1	2.05	1.67	1	−0.67	−3.63	−€1.00
M18	Middlesbrough · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 0-3	3.42	1.14	0	−1.14	−4.77	−€1.00
M19	Bristol City · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	W 2-0	2.51	1.45	3	+1.55	−3.22	+€1.51
M20	Nottingham Forest · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	D 1-1	2.42	1.49	1	−0.49	−3.71	−€1.00
M21	Coventry · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	L 1-2	2.13	1.66	0	−1.66	−5.37	−€1.00
M22	Bournemouth · Away12 Jan 2021	12 Jan 2021	D 1-1	4.73	0.87	1	+0.13	−5.24	−€1.00
M23	Nottingham Forest · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 1-3	3.07	1.25	0	−1.25	−6.49	−€1.00
M24	Huddersfield · Away20 Jan 2021	20 Jan 2021	W 1-0	2.31	1.53	3	+1.47	−5.02	+€1.31
M25	Watford · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	D 0-0	3.53	1.11	1	−0.11	−5.13	−€1.00
M26	Cardiff · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 1-1	3.34	1.17	1	−0.17	−5.30	−€1.00
M27	Norwich · Home2 Feb 2021	2 Feb 2021	D 0-0	3.92	1.00	1	0.00	−5.30	−€1.00
M28	Sheffield Wednesday · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	W 4-1	2.14	1.63	3	+1.37	−3.94	+€1.14
M29	Reading · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 2-1	3.21	1.20	3	+1.80	−2.14	+€2.21
M30	Birmingham · Home17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.20	1.62	3	+1.38	−0.76	+€1.20
M31	Wycombe · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	D 0-0	1.78	1.87	1	−0.87	−1.63	−€1.00
M32	Luton · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.51	1.45	1	−0.45	−2.08	−€1.00
M33	Barnsley · Away27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	L 1-2	3.75	1.06	0	−1.06	−3.14	−€1.00
M34	Preston · Home2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.31	1.54	3	+1.46	−1.68	+€1.31
M35	Blackburn · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.43	1.47	0	−1.47	−3.15	−€1.00
M36	Derby · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.01	1.28	3	+1.72	−1.43	+€2.01
M37	Queens Park Rangers · Away17 Mar 2021	17 Mar 2021	L 2-3	2.98	1.27	0	−1.27	−2.69	−€1.00
M38	Middlesbrough · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.32	1.18	3	+1.82	−0.88	+€2.32
M39	Rotherham · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.33	1.53	3	+1.47	+0.60	+€1.33
M40	Stoke · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 2-1	3.82	1.05	3	+1.95	+2.54	+€2.82
M41	Swansea · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 0-3	3.23	1.20	0	−1.20	+1.35	−€1.00
M42	Brentford · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	D 0-0	6.46	0.69	1	+0.31	+1.66	−€1.00
M43	Bournemouth · Home21 Apr 2021	21 Apr 2021	L 1-4	4.68	0.87	0	−0.87	+0.79	−€1.00
M44	Watford · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 0-1	7.00	0.64	0	−0.64	+0.15	−€1.00
M45	Bristol City · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 4-1	1.95	1.75	3	+1.25	+1.40	+€0.95
M46	Coventry · Away8 May 2021	8 May 2021	L 1-6	2.83	1.30	0	−1.30	+0.10	−€1.00
Total					61.90	62	+0.10		−€7.60