← Championship 2020-21

Norwich

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLWWD

Points

Points expected by the market

81.89

Gap

+15.11

Yield

+16.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	6	16	13.59	+2.41	+13.3%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	29	61	53.03	+7.97	+10.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	20	15.27	+4.73	+33.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	5	13	11.30	+1.70	+9.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	18	35	32.75	+2.25	−0.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	0	—	—	—	—
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.29	+0.71	+35.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	26	20.28	+5.72	+28.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	20	15.27	+4.73	+33.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Huddersfield · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 1-0	2.19	1.59	3	+1.41	+1.41	+€1.19
M2	Preston · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	D 2-2	2.09	1.65	1	−0.65	+0.76	−€1.00
M3	Bournemouth · Away27 Sep 2020	27 Sep 2020	L 0-1	3.07	1.21	0	−1.21	−0.45	−€1.00
M4	Derby · Home3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 0-1	1.70	1.92	0	−1.92	−2.37	−€1.00
M5	Rotherham · Away17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-1	1.93	1.74	3	+1.26	−1.11	+€0.93
M6	Birmingham · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	W 1-0	1.75	1.90	3	+1.10	0.00	+€0.75
M7	Wycombe · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 2-1	1.23	2.47	3	+0.53	+0.52	+€0.23
M8	Brentford · Away27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	D 1-1	3.25	1.15	1	−0.15	+0.38	−€1.00
M9	Bristol City · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	W 3-1	2.32	1.51	3	+1.49	+1.87	+€1.32
M10	Millwall · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 0-0	1.99	1.70	1	−0.70	+1.16	−€1.00
M11	Swansea · Home7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	W 1-0	2.02	1.68	3	+1.32	+2.48	+€1.02
M12	Middlesbrough · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 1-0	2.62	1.39	3	+1.61	+4.09	+€1.62
M13	Stoke · Away24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	W 3-2	2.39	1.48	3	+1.52	+5.61	+€1.39
M14	Coventry · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	D 1-1	1.90	1.77	1	−0.77	+4.84	−€1.00
M15	Luton · Away2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	L 1-3	2.08	1.63	0	−1.63	+3.21	−€1.00
M16	Sheffield Wednesday · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 2-1	1.85	1.81	3	+1.19	+4.40	+€0.85
M17	Nottingham Forest · Home9 Dec 2020	9 Dec 2020	W 2-1	1.85	1.80	3	+1.20	+5.60	+€0.85
M18	Blackburn · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.76	1.30	3	+1.70	+7.30	+€1.76
M19	Reading · Away16 Dec 2020	16 Dec 2020	W 2-1	2.38	1.49	3	+1.51	+8.81	+€1.38
M20	Cardiff · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	W 2-0	1.85	1.80	3	+1.20	+10.01	+€0.85
M21	Watford · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.72	1.33	0	−1.33	+8.68	−€1.00
M22	Queens Park Rangers · Home29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.62	1.98	1	−0.98	+7.70	−€1.00
M23	Barnsley · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	W 1-0	1.70	1.93	3	+1.07	+8.77	+€0.70
M24	Cardiff · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	W 2-1	2.21	1.56	3	+1.44	+10.20	+€1.21
M25	Bristol City · Home20 Jan 2021	20 Jan 2021	W 2-0	1.53	2.09	3	+0.91	+11.11	+€0.53
M26	Middlesbrough · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 0-0	1.73	1.90	1	−0.90	+10.21	−€1.00
M27	Millwall · Away2 Feb 2021	2 Feb 2021	D 0-0	1.97	1.72	1	−0.72	+9.49	−€1.00
M28	Swansea · Away5 Feb 2021	5 Feb 2021	L 0-2	2.80	1.32	0	−1.32	+8.17	−€1.00
M29	Stoke · Home13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 4-1	1.77	1.87	3	+1.13	+9.29	+€0.77
M30	Coventry · Away17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	W 2-0	1.70	1.92	3	+1.08	+10.37	+€0.70
M31	Rotherham · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 1-0	1.46	2.15	3	+0.85	+11.22	+€0.46
M32	Birmingham · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 3-1	1.60	2.02	3	+0.98	+12.20	+€0.60
M33	Wycombe · Away28 Feb 2021	28 Feb 2021	W 2-0	1.35	2.29	3	+0.71	+12.90	+€0.35
M34	Brentford · Home3 Mar 2021	3 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.17	1.59	3	+1.41	+14.32	+€1.17
M35	Luton · Home6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 3-0	1.35	2.30	3	+0.70	+15.01	+€0.35
M36	Sheffield Wednesday · Away14 Mar 2021	14 Mar 2021	W 2-1	1.57	2.05	3	+0.95	+15.96	+€0.57
M37	Nottingham Forest · Away17 Mar 2021	17 Mar 2021	W 2-0	1.80	1.84	3	+1.16	+17.12	+€0.80
M38	Blackburn · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	D 1-1	1.47	2.14	1	−1.14	+15.97	−€1.00
M39	Preston · Away2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	D 1-1	1.76	1.87	1	−0.87	+15.10	−€1.00
M40	Huddersfield · Home6 Apr 2021	6 Apr 2021	W 7-0	1.41	2.22	3	+0.78	+15.88	+€0.41
M41	Derby · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.61	2.01	3	+0.99	+16.87	+€0.61
M42	Bournemouth · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 1-3	2.07	1.65	0	−1.65	+15.23	−€1.00
M43	Watford · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.18	1.59	0	−1.59	+13.64	−€1.00
M44	Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 3-1	1.72	1.89	3	+1.11	+14.75	+€0.72
M45	Reading · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 4-1	1.50	2.12	3	+0.88	+15.64	+€0.50
M46	Barnsley · Away8 May 2021	8 May 2021	D 2-2	2.27	1.53	1	−0.53	+15.11	−€1.00
Total					81.89	97	+15.11		+€7.59