Points
61Points expected by the market
58.54Gap
+2.46Yield
+26.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 1 | −5.88 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 44 | +4.90 | +36.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 16 | +3.44 | +42.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | −0.81 | +9.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.27 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.71 | +75.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +5.38 | +106.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swansea · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.51 |
| M2 | Norwich · Away19 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.58 |
| M3 | Stoke · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.00 |
| M4 | Brentford · Away4 Oct 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.15 | −0.84 |
| M5 | Cardiff · Home18 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.41 |
| M6 | Queens Park Rangers · Away21 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.81 |
| M7 | Huddersfield · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.75 |
| M8 | Millwall · Home28 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.73 |
| M9 | Birmingham · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.41 |
| M10 | Reading · Away4 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.66 |
| M11 | Rotherham · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.31 |
| M12 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.76 |
| M13 | Blackburn · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.09 |
| M14 | Watford · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.03 |
| M15 | Bournemouth · Away1 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.20 | −0.83 |
| M16 | Wycombe · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | −1.76 |
| M17 | Middlesbrough · Home9 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.04 |
| M18 | Luton · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.40 |
| M19 | Barnsley · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.55 |
| M20 | Bristol City · Home18 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.12 |
| M21 | Derby · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.77 |
| M22 | Coventry · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.26 |
| M23 | Nottingham Forest · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.95 |
| M24 | Bristol City · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.42 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Away20 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.27 |
| M26 | Reading · Home24 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.94 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.49 |
| M28 | Rotherham · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.89 |
| M29 | Blackburn · Away12 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +0.14 |
| M30 | Watford · Home16 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.92 |
| M31 | Cardiff · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.91 |
| M32 | Queens Park Rangers · Home24 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.18 |
| M33 | Huddersfield · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.69 |
| M34 | Millwall · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.84 |
| M35 | Bournemouth · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.89 |
| M36 | Wycombe · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.52 |
| M37 | Middlesbrough · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.50 |
| M38 | Luton · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.96 |
| M39 | Norwich · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −5.83 |
| M40 | Swansea · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −3.76 |
| M41 | Brentford · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.71 |
| M42 | Stoke · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.80 |
| M43 | Derby · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.04 |
| M44 | Coventry · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −1.21 |
| M45 | Barnsley · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.62 |
| M46 | Nottingham Forest · Away8 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.46 |
| Total | 61 | +2.46 | |||