Points
68Points expected by the market
58.06Gap
+9.94Yield
+23.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.43 | +19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 38 | +0.68 | +8.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 20 | +7.82 | +56.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.14 | +49.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +2.00 | +16.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.15 | +30.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.32 | −1.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +6.67 | +64.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nottingham Forest · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.67 |
| M2 | Coventry · Away18 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.47 |
| M3 | Middlesbrough · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.19 |
| M4 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.17 |
| M5 | Bournemouth · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.39 |
| M6 | Preston · Home21 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.90 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.45 |
| M8 | Barnsley · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.60 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.85 |
| M10 | Derby · Away4 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.08 |
| M11 | Blackburn · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +0.04 |
| M12 | Watford · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.07 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.48 |
| M14 | Brentford · Away27 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.71 |
| M15 | Bristol City · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.86 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.15 |
| M17 | Millwall · Away8 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.19 |
| M18 | Reading · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.59 |
| M19 | Stoke · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.10 |
| M20 | Wycombe · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.80 |
| M21 | Swansea · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.98 |
| M22 | Norwich · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −5.77 |
| M23 | Luton · Away12 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.01 |
| M24 | Cardiff · Away20 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.13 |
| M25 | Derby · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.50 |
| M26 | Watford · Away1 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −1.34 |
| M27 | Blackburn · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.38 |
| M28 | Brentford · Home17 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.38 |
| M29 | Bournemouth · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.18 |
| M30 | Preston · Away24 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +3.74 |
| M31 | Birmingham · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.35 |
| M32 | Barnsley · Home3 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.09 |
| M33 | Bristol City · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.54 |
| M34 | Wycombe · Home9 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.54 |
| M35 | Huddersfield · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | +1.84 |
| M36 | Millwall · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.42 |
| M37 | Reading · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +3.30 |
| M38 | Coventry · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.74 |
| M39 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.43 |
| M40 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.88 |
| M41 | Rotherham · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +3.56 |
| M42 | Middlesbrough · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +5.51 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +7.58 |
| M44 | Norwich · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +6.70 |
| M45 | Stoke · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +8.51 |
| M46 | Luton · Home8 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +9.94 |
| Total | 68 | +9.94 | |||