Points
70Points expected by the market
63.60Gap
+6.40Yield
+5.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −1.61 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 46 | +9.55 | +29.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.37 | −43.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.57 | −24.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 24 | +5.81 | +60.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.04 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +3.74 | +0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.31 | −34.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derby · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.70 |
| M2 | Barnsley · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.22 |
| M3 | Cardiff · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +5.07 |
| M4 | Watford · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +6.94 |
| M5 | Middlesbrough · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +6.69 |
| M6 | Wycombe · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +7.52 |
| M7 | Rotherham · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +8.76 |
| M8 | Blackburn · Away27 Oct 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.00 | +10.75 |
| M9 | Coventry · Away30 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +9.37 |
| M10 | Preston · Home4 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +7.92 |
| M11 | Stoke · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +6.69 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +5.79 |
| M13 | Millwall · Away25 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +5.62 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.10 |
| M15 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.85 |
| M16 | Nottingham Forest · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +8.30 |
| M17 | Birmingham · Home9 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | +6.53 |
| M18 | Queens Park Rangers · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +8.21 |
| M19 | Norwich · Home16 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.98 |
| M20 | Brentford · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +6.07 |
| M21 | Luton · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +7.62 |
| M22 | Swansea · Away30 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +7.63 |
| M23 | Huddersfield · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +9.38 |
| M24 | Coventry · Home19 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +10.79 |
| M25 | Preston · Away24 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +10.43 |
| M26 | Bournemouth · Home29 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +12.31 |
| M27 | Stoke · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +12.01 |
| M28 | Brentford · Home10 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +10.96 |
| M29 | Millwall · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +9.48 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Away16 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +10.85 |
| M31 | Middlesbrough · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +9.40 |
| M32 | Wycombe · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +7.60 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +9.05 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +10.55 |
| M35 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +11.82 |
| M36 | Nottingham Forest · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +11.53 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Away17 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +9.99 |
| M38 | Queens Park Rangers · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +9.40 |
| M39 | Barnsley · Away2 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +9.25 |
| M40 | Derby · Home5 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +10.62 |
| M41 | Watford · Away9 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +9.77 |
| M42 | Cardiff · Home16 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +9.08 |
| M43 | Luton · Away21 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +8.48 |
| M44 | Swansea · Home25 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +7.86 |
| M45 | Norwich · Away1 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +7.19 |
| M46 | Huddersfield · Home8 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | +6.40 |
| Total | 70 | +6.40 | |||