Points
42Points expected by the market
52.69Gap
−10.69Yield
−25.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 30 | −3.04 | −10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −5.72 | −40.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −6.26 | −27.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.55 | −40.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.22 | +20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −4.17 | −40.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wycombe · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Millwall · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.20 |
| M3 | Birmingham · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.13 |
| M4 | Huddersfield · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.38 |
| M5 | Norwich · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.37 |
| M6 | Nottingham Forest · Away20 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.25 |
| M7 | Reading · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.21 |
| M8 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home28 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.37 |
| M9 | Stoke · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.23 |
| M10 | Luton · Home4 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.74 |
| M11 | Preston · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.82 |
| M12 | Swansea · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.66 |
| M13 | Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.80 |
| M14 | Bournemouth · Home28 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.62 |
| M15 | Brentford · Home1 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.41 |
| M16 | Coventry · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.45 |
| M17 | Watford · Away8 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −5.06 |
| M18 | Bristol City · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −3.37 |
| M19 | Blackburn · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.19 |
| M20 | Barnsley · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.28 |
| M21 | Derby · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −3.25 |
| M22 | Stoke · Home19 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.58 |
| M23 | Middlesbrough · Away27 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −1.54 |
| M24 | Swansea · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.73 |
| M25 | Derby · Home3 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.98 |
| M26 | Preston · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.73 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.52 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.39 |
| M29 | Norwich · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.03 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.35 |
| M31 | Reading · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.51 |
| M32 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away3 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.78 |
| M33 | Watford · Home16 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.57 |
| M34 | Bristol City · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.87 |
| M35 | Millwall · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.04 |
| M36 | Wycombe · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.93 | −4.97 |
| M37 | Huddersfield · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.23 |
| M38 | Queens Park Rangers · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.64 |
| M39 | Coventry · Home15 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −5.06 |
| M40 | Birmingham · Home18 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −6.44 |
| M41 | Middlesbrough · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −7.84 |
| M42 | Barnsley · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.67 |
| M43 | Brentford · Away27 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −9.48 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Home1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −9.89 |
| M45 | Luton · Away4 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −10.27 |
| M46 | Cardiff · Away8 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −10.69 |
| Total | 42 | −10.69 | |||