Points
60Points expected by the market
63.41Gap
−3.41Yield
−16.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +3.85 | +24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 31 | 33 | −7.86 | −39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.60 | +56.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.14 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −2.45 | −11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.98 | +106.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −5.40 | −66.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.60 | +56.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Millwall · Away12 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.27 |
| M2 | Bristol City · Home20 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.03 |
| M3 | Preston · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.30 |
| M4 | Birmingham · Home4 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.82 |
| M5 | Luton · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.54 |
| M6 | Barnsley · Home21 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.31 |
| M7 | Brentford · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.51 |
| M8 | Swansea · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.27 |
| M9 | Rotherham · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.40 |
| M10 | Watford · Away4 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.25 |
| M11 | Reading · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.80 |
| M12 | Huddersfield · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.04 |
| M13 | Norwich · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.81 |
| M14 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.47 |
| M15 | Wycombe · Away2 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.70 |
| M16 | Middlesbrough · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.29 |
| M17 | Cardiff · Home8 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.99 |
| M18 | Derby · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.64 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.45 |
| M20 | Blackburn · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.19 |
| M21 | Coventry · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +3.88 |
| M22 | Nottingham Forest · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.45 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.32 |
| M24 | Blackburn · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +2.34 |
| M25 | Rotherham · Away19 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.99 |
| M26 | Watford · Home22 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.79 |
| M27 | Huddersfield · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.35 |
| M28 | Reading · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.03 |
| M29 | Norwich · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.89 |
| M30 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home16 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.48 |
| M31 | Luton · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.88 |
| M32 | Barnsley · Away24 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.74 |
| M33 | Brentford · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.14 |
| M34 | Swansea · Home3 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.56 |
| M35 | Wycombe · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.56 |
| M36 | Middlesbrough · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.69 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.90 |
| M38 | Derby · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.41 |
| M39 | Bristol City · Away2 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.98 |
| M40 | Millwall · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.65 |
| M41 | Birmingham · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.00 |
| M42 | Preston · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.62 |
| M43 | Coventry · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.97 |
| M44 | Nottingham Forest · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −4.19 |
| M45 | Queens Park Rangers · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.73 |
| M46 | Bournemouth · Away8 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.32 | −3.41 |
| Total | 60 | −3.41 | |||