Points
80Points expected by the market
68.23Gap
+11.77Yield
+22.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 24 | −2.07 | −8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 53 | +17.09 | +64.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.39 | −11.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 24 | +8.62 | +66.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.32 | −0.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 29 | +8.48 | +62.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.81 |
| M2 | Birmingham · Home19 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.22 |
| M3 | Wycombe · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.37 |
| M4 | Millwall · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.85 |
| M5 | Huddersfield · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | +2.13 |
| M6 | Coventry · Away20 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.50 |
| M7 | Bristol City · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.16 |
| M8 | Stoke · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.70 |
| M9 | Blackburn · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.26 |
| M10 | Brentford · Away3 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.39 |
| M11 | Norwich · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +3.34 |
| M12 | Rotherham · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.44 |
| M13 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home25 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +3.81 |
| M14 | Nottingham Forest · Away29 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.43 |
| M15 | Middlesbrough · Away2 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +4.22 |
| M16 | Luton · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +5.33 |
| M17 | Bournemouth · Home8 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +5.07 |
| M18 | Cardiff · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +6.87 |
| M19 | Derby · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +5.39 |
| M20 | Barnsley · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +6.77 |
| M21 | Queens Park Rangers · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +8.23 |
| M22 | Reading · Home30 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +7.52 |
| M23 | Watford · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +9.17 |
| M24 | Barnsley · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +10.76 |
| M25 | Brentford · Home27 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +10.54 |
| M26 | Rotherham · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +12.02 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home5 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +13.64 |
| M28 | Nottingham Forest · Home17 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +14.93 |
| M29 | Huddersfield · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.60 | +13.33 |
| M30 | Coventry · Home24 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +14.70 |
| M31 | Bristol City · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.94 | +12.75 |
| M32 | Stoke · Away3 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +14.50 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +16.04 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Away9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +15.61 |
| M35 | Luton · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +17.00 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +15.95 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +14.47 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +12.99 |
| M39 | Preston · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +11.19 |
| M40 | Millwall · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +12.70 |
| M41 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away13 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +14.31 |
| M42 | Wycombe · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.19 | +13.12 |
| M43 | Queens Park Rangers · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | +11.31 |
| M44 | Reading · Away25 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +11.21 |
| M45 | Derby · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +12.99 |
| M46 | Watford · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +11.77 |
| Total | 80 | +11.77 | |||