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← Championship 2020-21

Watford

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWWLW

Points

91

Points expected by the market

77.42

Gap

+13.58

Yield

+16.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 3 9 6.55 +2.45 +44.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 23 52 42.19 +9.81 +26.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 30 28.68 +1.32 0.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Middlesbrough · Home11 Sep 2020 11 Sep 2020 W 1-0 2.02 1.70 3 +1.30 +1.30 +€1.02
M2 Sheffield Wednesday · Away19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 D 0-0 3.05 1.24 1 −0.24 +1.06 −€1.00
M3 Luton · Home26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 W 1-0 1.82 1.84 3 +1.16 +2.22 +€0.82
M4 Reading · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.25 1.57 0 −1.57 +0.65 −€1.00
M5 Derby · Away16 Oct 2020 16 Oct 2020 W 1-0 2.25 1.58 3 +1.42 +2.08 +€1.25
M6 Blackburn · Home21 Oct 2020 21 Oct 2020 W 3-1 2.07 1.66 3 +1.34 +3.42 +€1.07
M7 Bournemouth · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.69 1.38 1 −0.38 +3.04 −€1.00
M8 Wycombe · Away27 Oct 2020 27 Oct 2020 D 1-1 1.52 2.12 1 −1.12 +1.93 −€1.00
M9 Barnsley · Away31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.44 1.47 0 −1.47 +0.45 −€1.00
M10 Stoke · Home4 Nov 2020 4 Nov 2020 W 3-2 2.33 1.54 3 +1.46 +1.92 +€1.33
M11 Coventry · Home7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 W 3-2 1.79 1.86 3 +1.14 +3.05 +€0.79
M12 Queens Park Rangers · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 D 1-1 1.92 1.76 1 −0.76 +2.30 −€1.00
M13 Bristol City · Away25 Nov 2020 25 Nov 2020 D 0-0 2.43 1.47 1 −0.47 +1.83 −€1.00
M14 Preston · Home28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 W 4-1 1.93 1.77 3 +1.23 +3.06 +€0.93
M15 Nottingham Forest · Away2 Dec 2020 2 Dec 2020 D 0-0 2.32 1.53 1 −0.53 +2.53 −€1.00
M16 Cardiff · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 0-1 2.11 1.63 0 −1.63 +0.90 −€1.00
M17 Rotherham · Home8 Dec 2020 8 Dec 2020 W 2-0 1.46 2.17 3 +0.83 +1.73 +€0.46
M18 Birmingham · Away12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 W 1-0 2.06 1.68 3 +1.32 +3.05 +€1.06
M19 Brentford · Home15 Dec 2020 15 Dec 2020 D 1-1 2.70 1.37 1 −0.37 +2.69 −€1.00
M20 Huddersfield · Away19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 L 0-2 2.22 1.58 0 −1.58 +1.11 −€1.00
M21 Norwich · Home26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 W 1-0 2.58 1.39 3 +1.61 +2.73 +€1.58
M22 Swansea · Away2 Jan 2021 2 Jan 2021 L 1-2 2.80 1.33 0 −1.33 +1.39 −€1.00
M23 Huddersfield · Home16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 W 2-0 1.49 2.14 3 +0.86 +2.26 +€0.49
M24 Barnsley · Home19 Jan 2021 19 Jan 2021 W 1-0 1.86 1.81 3 +1.19 +3.45 +€0.86
M25 Stoke · Away22 Jan 2021 22 Jan 2021 W 2-1 2.41 1.49 3 +1.51 +4.96 +€1.41
M26 Millwall · Away26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 D 0-0 2.22 1.59 1 −0.59 +4.37 −€1.00
M27 Queens Park Rangers · Home1 Feb 2021 1 Feb 2021 L 1-2 1.73 1.90 0 −1.90 +2.47 −€1.00
M28 Coventry · Away6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 D 0-0 2.16 1.62 1 −0.62 +1.85 −€1.00
M29 Bristol City · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 W 6-0 1.56 2.06 3 +0.94 +2.79 +€0.56
M30 Preston · Away16 Feb 2021 16 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.10 1.65 3 +1.35 +4.14 +€1.10
M31 Derby · Home19 Feb 2021 19 Feb 2021 W 2-1 1.81 1.85 3 +1.15 +5.29 +€0.81
M32 Blackburn · Away24 Feb 2021 24 Feb 2021 W 3-2 2.24 1.56 3 +1.44 +6.73 +€1.24
M33 Bournemouth · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 L 0-1 2.65 1.37 0 −1.37 +5.36 −€1.00
M34 Wycombe · Home3 Mar 2021 3 Mar 2021 W 2-0 1.39 2.25 3 +0.75 +6.11 +€0.39
M35 Nottingham Forest · Home6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 W 1-0 1.92 1.77 3 +1.23 +7.34 +€0.92
M36 Cardiff · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 W 2-1 2.49 1.45 3 +1.55 +8.88 +€1.49
M37 Rotherham · Away16 Mar 2021 16 Mar 2021 W 4-1 1.66 1.96 3 +1.04 +9.92 +€0.66
M38 Birmingham · Home20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 W 3-0 1.70 1.95 3 +1.05 +10.98 +€0.70
M39 Sheffield Wednesday · Home2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 W 1-0 1.56 2.07 3 +0.93 +11.90 +€0.56
M40 Middlesbrough · Away5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 D 1-1 2.12 1.64 1 −0.64 +11.27 −€1.00
M41 Reading · Home9 Apr 2021 9 Apr 2021 W 2-0 1.78 1.88 3 +1.12 +12.39 +€0.78
M42 Luton · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 0-1 1.74 1.90 0 −1.90 +10.49 −€1.00
M43 Norwich · Away20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 W 1-0 3.32 1.14 3 +1.86 +12.35 +€2.32
M44 Millwall · Home24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 W 1-0 1.51 2.12 3 +0.88 +13.23 +€0.51
M45 Brentford · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 0-2 3.27 1.16 0 −1.16 +12.07 −€1.00
M46 Swansea · Home8 May 2021 8 May 2021 W 2-0 2.37 1.49 3 +1.51 +13.58 +€1.37
Total 77.42 91 +13.58 +€7.48