Points
43Points expected by the market
39.34Gap
+3.66Yield
+3.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.03 | −46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 41 | 39 | +5.69 | +10.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.03 | −46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 22 | +5.95 | +42.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 17 | −0.26 | −15.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rotherham · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.16 |
| M2 | Blackburn · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.89 |
| M3 | Swansea · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.78 |
| M4 | Luton · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.70 |
| M5 | Millwall · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.50 |
| M6 | Reading · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.12 |
| M7 | Norwich · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.49 |
| M8 | Watford · Home27 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −5.14 |
| M9 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −3.16 |
| M10 | Birmingham · Away4 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −0.93 |
| M11 | Nottingham Forest · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.71 |
| M12 | Brentford · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.35 | −1.36 |
| M13 | Huddersfield · Home24 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.55 |
| M14 | Derby · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −1.43 |
| M15 | Stoke · Home2 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.38 |
| M16 | Preston · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.21 |
| M17 | Barnsley · Away9 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.97 |
| M18 | Coventry · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.18 |
| M19 | Bournemouth · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.63 |
| M20 | Queens Park Rangers · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.67 |
| M21 | Bristol City · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.64 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −3.60 |
| M23 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.54 |
| M24 | Brentford · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.47 | −5.02 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Home2 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −5.12 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.15 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away9 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −7.11 |
| M28 | Huddersfield · Away13 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.99 |
| M29 | Derby · Home16 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.02 |
| M30 | Millwall · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | −5.88 |
| M31 | Reading · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.81 |
| M32 | Norwich · Home28 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −4.33 |
| M33 | Watford · Away3 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −4.87 |
| M34 | Stoke · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −5.62 |
| M35 | Queens Park Rangers · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.38 |
| M36 | Preston · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −4.47 |
| M37 | Barnsley · Home17 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −5.24 |
| M38 | Coventry · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −5.05 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −2.93 |
| M40 | Rotherham · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −0.76 |
| M41 | Luton · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.88 |
| M42 | Swansea · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.41 | −1.47 |
| M43 | Bristol City · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.18 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.65 |
| M45 | Bournemouth · Home1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.58 |
| M46 | Middlesbrough · Away8 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.66 |
| Total | 43 | +3.66 | |||