Points
30Points expected by the market
48.92Gap
−18.92Yield
−61.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.32 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 16 | −10.45 | −60.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 11 | −8.15 | −67.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.32 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −6.41 | −47.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.29 | −30.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −4.04 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 6 | −8.44 | −80.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cardiff · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | Coventry · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.08 |
| M3 | Luton · Home17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.48 |
| M4 | Queens Park Rangers · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.55 |
| M5 | Birmingham · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.01 |
| M6 | Bournemouth · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.90 |
| M7 | Stoke · Away15 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −1.65 |
| M8 | Blackburn · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.89 |
| M9 | Blackpool · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.10 |
| M10 | Nottingham Forest · Home29 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.58 |
| M11 | Millwall · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.85 |
| M12 | Reading · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.03 |
| M13 | Middlesbrough · Away20 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −7.93 |
| M14 | Sheffield United · Home24 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −8.89 |
| M15 | Bristol City · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −10.15 |
| M16 | Derby · Home3 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −8.67 |
| M17 | Hull · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −10.15 |
| M18 | Fulham · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −10.59 |
| M19 | Swansea · Home24 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −11.82 |
| M20 | Peterborough · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −11.97 |
| M21 | Huddersfield · Home4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −12.36 |
| M22 | Preston · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −13.26 |
| M23 | West Bromwich Albion · Home17 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −13.01 |
| M24 | Blackburn · Away29 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −13.83 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −14.84 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Away25 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −15.49 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Home29 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | −16.15 |
| M28 | Cardiff · Home2 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −17.34 |
| M29 | Luton · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −18.10 |
| M30 | Queens Park Rangers · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −16.27 |
| M31 | Coventry · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −16.95 |
| M32 | Hull · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −15.07 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.04 | −13.03 |
| M34 | Derby · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −14.02 |
| M35 | Stoke · Home8 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −14.34 |
| M36 | Fulham · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −13.93 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −12.44 |
| M38 | Sheffield United · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −13.07 |
| M39 | Reading · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −13.46 |
| M40 | Millwall · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −14.32 |
| M41 | Swansea · Away15 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −14.12 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Home18 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −15.77 |
| M43 | Huddersfield · Away22 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −16.54 |
| M44 | Blackpool · Home26 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −17.72 |
| M45 | Preston · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −18.51 |
| M46 | West Bromwich Albion · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | −18.92 |
| Total | 30 | −18.92 | |||