← Championship 2021-22

Birmingham

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDDL

Points

Points expected by the market

55.46

Gap

−8.46

Yield

−25.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	13	11.92	+1.08	+16.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	19	17	24.95	−7.95	−52.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	17	18.59	−1.59	−15.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	13	10.31	+2.69	+35.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	10	15.40	−5.40	−49.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	4	6.28	−2.28	−35.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.61	−1.61	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	7	9.55	−2.55	−56.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	13	12.31	+0.69	−6.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sheffield United · Away7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 1-0	5.82	0.76	3	+2.24	+2.24	+€4.82
M2	Stoke · Home14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	D 0-0	3.09	1.24	1	−0.24	+2.00	−€1.00
M3	Bournemouth · Home18 Aug 2021	18 Aug 2021	L 0-2	2.55	1.42	0	−1.42	+0.58	−€1.00
M4	Luton · Away21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	W 5-0	3.46	1.14	3	+1.86	+2.44	+€2.46
M5	Barnsley · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	D 1-1	3.12	1.23	1	−0.23	+2.22	−€1.00
M6	Derby · Home10 Sep 2021	10 Sep 2021	W 2-0	2.00	1.73	3	+1.27	+3.49	+€1.00
M7	Fulham · Home15 Sep 2021	15 Sep 2021	L 1-4	3.75	1.06	0	−1.06	+2.43	−€1.00
M8	Peterborough · Away18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	L 0-3	2.16	1.61	0	−1.61	+0.82	−€1.00
M9	Preston · Home25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	D 0-0	2.41	1.48	1	−0.48	+0.34	−€1.00
M10	Queens Park Rangers · Away28 Sep 2021	28 Sep 2021	L 0-2	3.46	1.11	0	−1.11	−0.77	−€1.00
M11	Nottingham Forest · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	L 0-3	2.22	1.59	0	−1.59	−2.36	−€1.00
M12	West Bromwich Albion · Away15 Oct 2021	15 Oct 2021	L 0-1	6.02	0.71	0	−0.71	−3.07	−€1.00
M13	Huddersfield · Away20 Oct 2021	20 Oct 2021	D 0-0	3.22	1.18	1	−0.18	−3.26	−€1.00
M14	Swansea · Home23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	W 2-1	2.60	1.41	3	+1.59	−1.67	+€1.60
M15	Middlesbrough · Away30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	W 2-0	3.76	1.04	3	+1.96	+0.29	+€2.76
M16	Bristol City · Home2 Nov 2021	2 Nov 2021	W 3-0	1.93	1.75	3	+1.25	+1.54	+€0.93
M17	Reading · Home6 Nov 2021	6 Nov 2021	L 1-2	1.95	1.74	0	−1.74	−0.20	−€1.00
M18	Hull · Away20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	L 0-2	2.86	1.31	0	−1.31	−1.51	−€1.00
M19	Coventry · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	D 0-0	4.03	1.00	1	0.00	−1.51	−€1.00
M20	Blackpool · Home27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	W 1-0	2.16	1.62	3	+1.38	−0.12	+€1.16
M21	Millwall · Away4 Dec 2021	4 Dec 2021	L 1-3	3.92	1.04	0	−1.04	−1.16	−€1.00
M22	Cardiff · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	D 2-2	2.62	1.39	1	−0.39	−1.55	−€1.00
M23	Blackburn · Away18 Dec 2021	18 Dec 2021	L 0-4	3.94	1.01	0	−1.01	−2.57	−€1.00
M24	Queens Park Rangers · Home2 Jan 2022	2 Jan 2022	L 1-2	3.01	1.25	0	−1.25	−3.81	−€1.00
M25	Preston · Away15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	D 1-1	4.24	0.96	1	+0.04	−3.77	−€1.00
M26	Fulham · Away18 Jan 2022	18 Jan 2022	L 2-6	10.15	0.46	0	−0.46	−4.22	−€1.00
M27	Barnsley · Home22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	W 2-1	2.03	1.70	3	+1.30	−2.92	+€1.03
M28	Peterborough · Home25 Jan 2022	25 Jan 2022	D 2-2	1.90	1.78	1	−0.78	−3.70	−€1.00
M29	Derby · Away30 Jan 2022	30 Jan 2022	D 2-2	3.35	1.16	1	−0.16	−3.86	−€1.00
M30	Sheffield United · Home4 Feb 2022	4 Feb 2022	L 1-2	3.83	1.03	0	−1.03	−4.89	−€1.00
M31	Bournemouth · Away9 Feb 2022	9 Feb 2022	L 1-3	7.31	0.60	0	−0.60	−5.49	−€1.00
M32	Luton · Home12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	W 3-0	2.99	1.25	3	+1.75	−3.74	+€1.99
M33	Stoke · Away19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	D 2-2	4.71	0.87	1	+0.13	−3.60	−€1.00
M34	Reading · Away22 Feb 2022	22 Feb 2022	L 1-2	3.00	1.24	0	−1.24	−4.84	−€1.00
M35	Huddersfield · Home26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 0-2	2.55	1.43	0	−1.43	−6.27	−€1.00
M36	Bristol City · Away5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	W 2-1	3.50	1.09	3	+1.91	−4.36	+€2.50
M37	Hull · Home12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	D 0-0	2.27	1.55	1	−0.55	−4.92	−€1.00
M38	Middlesbrough · Home15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	L 0-2	3.86	1.01	0	−1.01	−5.93	−€1.00
M39	Swansea · Away19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	D 0-0	4.13	0.97	1	+0.03	−5.90	−€1.00
M40	West Bromwich Albion · Home3 Apr 2022	3 Apr 2022	W 1-0	3.86	1.03	3	+1.97	−3.93	+€2.86
M41	Nottingham Forest · Away9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	L 0-2	5.69	0.75	0	−0.75	−4.67	−€1.00
M42	Coventry · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	L 2-4	3.65	1.05	0	−1.05	−5.72	−€1.00
M43	Blackpool · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	L 1-6	3.60	1.06	0	−1.06	−6.79	−€1.00
M44	Millwall · Home23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	D 2-2	3.54	1.10	1	−0.10	−6.88	−€1.00
M45	Cardiff · Away30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	D 1-1	3.20	1.18	1	−0.18	−7.07	−€1.00
M46	Blackburn · Home7 May 2022	7 May 2022	L 1-2	2.56	1.39	0	−1.39	−8.46	−€1.00
Total					55.46	47	−8.46		−€11.89