Points
69Points expected by the market
65.16Gap
+3.84Yield
+4.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 24 | +0.37 | +0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 35 | +1.07 | −6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +2.40 | +45.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.30 | +9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.37 | +22.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.11 | +19.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 21 | −1.30 | −20.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.51 | +60.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swansea · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Millwall · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.20 |
| M3 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.92 |
| M4 | West Bromwich Albion · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.83 |
| M5 | Middlesbrough · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.61 |
| M6 | Luton · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.94 |
| M7 | Hull · Home14 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.17 |
| M8 | Barnsley · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +1.72 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.22 |
| M10 | Huddersfield · Away28 Sep 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.91 |
| M11 | Blackpool · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.65 |
| M12 | Coventry · Home16 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.23 |
| M13 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.88 |
| M14 | Reading · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.21 |
| M15 | Derby · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.87 |
| M16 | Fulham · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.91 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +2.84 |
| M18 | Bristol City · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.31 |
| M19 | Peterborough · Home24 Nov 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +3.45 |
| M20 | Stoke · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +5.36 |
| M21 | Preston · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +6.84 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +8.92 |
| M23 | Birmingham · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +10.22 |
| M24 | Barnsley · Home29 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +11.30 |
| M25 | Huddersfield · Home2 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +10.44 |
| M26 | Cardiff · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +11.95 |
| M27 | Hull · Away19 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +10.44 |
| M28 | Middlesbrough · Home24 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +12.11 |
| M29 | Luton · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +11.89 |
| M30 | Swansea · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +10.74 |
| M31 | Nottingham Forest · Home9 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +9.23 |
| M32 | West Bromwich Albion · Away14 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | +9.28 |
| M33 | Sheffield United · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +8.41 |
| M34 | Queens Park Rangers · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +9.85 |
| M35 | Fulham · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +9.19 |
| M36 | Millwall · Home8 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +8.57 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | +6.63 |
| M38 | Derby · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.78 |
| M39 | Reading · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +6.26 |
| M40 | Coventry · Away2 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.15 |
| M41 | Blackpool · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +5.27 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +3.34 |
| M43 | Stoke · Home18 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +1.64 |
| M44 | Preston · Away25 Apr 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.35 |
| M45 | Bournemouth · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.18 |
| M46 | Birmingham · Away7 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.84 |
| Total | 69 | +3.84 | |||