Points
60Points expected by the market
54.03Gap
+5.97Yield
+7.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.18 | +54.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 28 | +0.02 | −6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 23 | +3.78 | +12.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.18 | +54.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +1.49 | +8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.29 | +81.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.47 | −54.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 19 | +2.49 | +1.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol City · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.12 |
| M2 | Cardiff · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.46 |
| M3 | Coventry · Home17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.78 |
| M4 | Bournemouth · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −2.59 |
| M5 | Millwall · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.50 |
| M6 | Fulham · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −1.27 |
| M7 | Huddersfield · Home14 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.65 |
| M8 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.56 |
| M9 | Barnsley · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| M10 | Hull · Away28 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.76 |
| M11 | Blackburn · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.31 |
| M12 | Nottingham Forest · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.34 |
| M13 | Reading · Away20 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.29 |
| M14 | Preston · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +5.01 |
| M15 | Sheffield United · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +7.32 |
| M16 | Stoke · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +6.16 |
| M17 | Queens Park Rangers · Home6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +5.87 |
| M18 | Swansea · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +5.98 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | +6.03 |
| M20 | Birmingham · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +4.94 |
| M21 | Luton · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.63 |
| M22 | Derby · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +2.40 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.75 |
| M24 | Huddersfield · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.70 |
| M25 | Middlesbrough · Home29 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.57 |
| M26 | Hull · Home1 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.08 |
| M27 | Millwall · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.59 |
| M28 | Fulham · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.53 | +5.12 |
| M29 | Bristol City · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.66 |
| M30 | Coventry · Away8 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +6.87 |
| M31 | Bournemouth · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +5.88 |
| M32 | Cardiff · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +5.90 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +4.95 |
| M34 | Reading · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.28 |
| M35 | Stoke · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +8.28 |
| M36 | Swansea · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +9.75 |
| M37 | Sheffield United · Home16 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +9.58 |
| M38 | Nottingham Forest · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +8.36 |
| M39 | Preston · Away5 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +7.28 |
| M40 | Blackburn · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +7.42 |
| M41 | West Bromwich Albion · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +6.42 |
| M42 | Birmingham · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.76 |
| M43 | Luton · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +7.76 |
| M44 | Barnsley · Away26 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +9.22 |
| M45 | Derby · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +7.38 |
| M46 | Peterborough · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.40 | +5.97 |
| Total | 60 | +5.97 | |||