Points
88Points expected by the market
78.97Gap
+9.03Yield
+9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −0.98 | −28.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 47 | +3.67 | +7.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 32 | +6.25 | +26.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −0.98 | −28.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 33 | +2.78 | +10.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.55 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +0.89 | +0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 27 | +5.70 | +37.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.09 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Bromwich Albion · Home6 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.46 |
| M2 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.24 |
| M3 | Birmingham · Away18 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.97 |
| M4 | Blackpool · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +2.03 |
| M5 | Hull · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.49 |
| M6 | Barnsley · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.65 |
| M7 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.84 |
| M8 | Cardiff · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.38 |
| M9 | Luton · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.37 |
| M10 | Peterborough · Away29 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +5.43 |
| M11 | Sheffield United · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.83 |
| M12 | Bristol City · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +8.06 |
| M13 | Stoke · Away19 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +9.72 |
| M14 | Huddersfield · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +10.68 |
| M15 | Reading · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +11.75 |
| M16 | Preston · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +9.83 |
| M17 | Swansea · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +10.97 |
| M18 | Derby · Away21 Nov 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.86 | +9.11 |
| M19 | Millwall · Away24 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +8.63 |
| M20 | Coventry · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | +7.79 |
| M21 | Fulham · Away3 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +7.89 |
| M22 | Blackburn · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +6.08 |
| M23 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +4.72 |
| M24 | Queens Park Rangers · Away27 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +6.30 |
| M25 | Cardiff · Home30 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.32 |
| M26 | Luton · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +5.83 |
| M27 | Hull · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | +3.71 |
| M28 | Barnsley · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +4.61 |
| M29 | Birmingham · Home9 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +5.41 |
| M30 | Blackpool · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +6.67 |
| M31 | Stoke · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +7.78 |
| M32 | Preston · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +6.26 |
| M33 | Peterborough · Home8 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.39 | +4.87 |
| M34 | Derby · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +5.86 |
| M35 | Reading · Home15 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | +4.66 |
| M36 | Huddersfield · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +6.13 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | +6.93 |
| M38 | West Bromwich Albion · Away6 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +5.56 |
| M39 | Sheffield United · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +5.28 |
| M40 | Middlesbrough · Home15 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +4.51 |
| M41 | Coventry · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +6.13 |
| M42 | Fulham · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +5.70 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away26 Apr 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.76 | +4.93 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.37 |
| M45 | Nottingham Forest · Home3 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +7.81 |
| M46 | Millwall · Home7 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +9.03 |
| Total | 88 | +9.03 | |||