Points
55Points expected by the market
52.21Gap
+2.79Yield
+8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.11 | −0.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 28 | +1.52 | +16.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 20 | +1.16 | +2.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.11 | −0.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −0.07 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.25 | −29.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.59 | +50.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | −0.10 | +12.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackpool · Home7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Middlesbrough · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.59 |
| M3 | Reading · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.26 |
| M4 | Swansea · Home20 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.32 |
| M5 | Cardiff · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.75 |
| M6 | Preston · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.26 |
| M7 | Luton · Home15 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.26 |
| M8 | Queens Park Rangers · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +1.89 |
| M9 | Fulham · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +2.12 |
| M10 | Millwall · Away29 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.18 |
| M11 | Peterborough · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.94 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.99 |
| M13 | Nottingham Forest · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.71 |
| M14 | West Bromwich Albion · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +0.10 |
| M15 | Barnsley · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.65 |
| M16 | Birmingham · Away2 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.67 |
| M17 | Coventry · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.02 |
| M18 | Blackburn · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.21 |
| M19 | Stoke · Home24 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.67 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Away28 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.02 |
| M21 | Derby · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.61 |
| M22 | Hull · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +2.63 |
| M23 | Huddersfield · Home18 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.19 |
| M24 | Queens Park Rangers · Home30 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.09 |
| M25 | Millwall · Home2 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.63 |
| M26 | Fulham · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.37 | +1.26 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.92 |
| M28 | Luton · Away25 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +2.01 |
| M29 | Preston · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +2.06 |
| M30 | Blackpool · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.80 |
| M31 | Reading · Home9 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.98 |
| M32 | Swansea · Away13 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.90 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.81 |
| M34 | Coventry · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.71 |
| M35 | Nottingham Forest · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.84 |
| M36 | Birmingham · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.79 |
| M37 | Blackburn · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | +1.42 |
| M38 | Barnsley · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.21 |
| M39 | West Bromwich Albion · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.25 |
| M40 | Bournemouth · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.35 |
| M41 | Peterborough · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −1.20 |
| M42 | Stoke · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.91 |
| M43 | Sheffield United · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.93 |
| M44 | Derby · Away23 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.58 |
| M45 | Hull · Home30 Apr 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.98 |
| M46 | Huddersfield · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.79 |
| Total | 55 | +2.79 | |||