Points
53Points expected by the market
57.92Gap
−4.92Yield
−6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.16 | −47.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 35 | −0.50 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.73 | −6.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.16 | −47.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −1.04 | −2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.54 | +12.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +2.60 | +12.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Barnsley · Home7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.45 |
| M2 | Blackpool · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.20 |
| M3 | Peterborough · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.78 |
| M4 | Millwall · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.26 |
| M5 | Bristol City · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +0.48 |
| M6 | Nottingham Forest · Away12 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.21 |
| M7 | Coventry · Away15 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.07 |
| M8 | Bournemouth · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.18 |
| M9 | Blackburn · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.38 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Home28 Sep 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.38 |
| M11 | Reading · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −4.07 |
| M12 | Swansea · Away17 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.27 |
| M13 | Fulham · Away20 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −5.83 |
| M14 | Middlesbrough · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.25 |
| M15 | Stoke · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.11 | −7.14 |
| M16 | Queens Park Rangers · Home3 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.53 |
| M17 | Huddersfield · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −7.08 |
| M18 | Preston · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | −5.12 |
| M19 | Hull · Home24 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −6.78 |
| M20 | Luton · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | −4.82 |
| M21 | Sheffield United · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.00 |
| M22 | Birmingham · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −6.30 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Away30 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −7.08 |
| M24 | West Bromwich Albion · Away2 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | −6.69 |
| M25 | Blackburn · Home15 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.90 |
| M26 | Bristol City · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −9.25 |
| M27 | Nottingham Forest · Home30 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −7.43 |
| M28 | Barnsley · Away2 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −5.94 |
| M29 | Peterborough · Home9 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −4.94 |
| M30 | Millwall · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.04 |
| M31 | Coventry · Home15 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.24 |
| M32 | Blackpool · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −4.97 |
| M33 | Huddersfield · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −6.19 |
| M34 | Fulham · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.06 |
| M35 | Derby · Home1 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −5.76 |
| M36 | Queens Park Rangers · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −3.83 |
| M37 | Preston · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.31 |
| M38 | Stoke · Home16 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −2.73 |
| M39 | Swansea · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.33 |
| M40 | Reading · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.46 |
| M41 | Hull · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.65 |
| M42 | Luton · Home18 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.91 |
| M43 | Sheffield United · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.56 |
| M44 | Middlesbrough · Away27 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −6.22 |
| M45 | Birmingham · Home30 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −6.75 |
| M46 | Derby · Away7 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.92 |
| Total | 53 | −4.92 | |||