Points
64Points expected by the market
67.58Gap
−3.58Yield
−5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 29 | −3.21 | −17.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | −1.87 | −19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +1.50 | +65.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 20 | −7.13 | −40.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +1.84 | +34.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +269.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.91 | +100.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −3.71 | −46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.47 | +31.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nottingham Forest · Home8 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.42 |
| M2 | Barnsley · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.38 |
| M3 | Blackpool · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.02 |
| M4 | Reading · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.35 |
| M5 | Queens Park Rangers · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.20 |
| M6 | Middlesbrough · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.65 |
| M7 | Cardiff · Home15 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.08 |
| M8 | Millwall · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +4.81 |
| M9 | Peterborough · Home24 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.81 |
| M10 | Luton · Away29 Sep 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.39 | +4.42 |
| M11 | Fulham · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +6.39 |
| M12 | Blackburn · Away16 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +6.11 |
| M13 | Preston · Away20 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +4.84 |
| M14 | Derby · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +3.95 |
| M15 | Hull · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.45 |
| M16 | Swansea · Home2 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.92 |
| M17 | Bristol City · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.90 | +4.82 |
| M18 | Sheffield United · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.83 |
| M19 | Birmingham · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +4.12 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +4.23 |
| M21 | West Bromwich Albion · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +3.01 |
| M22 | Huddersfield · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.66 |
| M23 | Millwall · Home29 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +0.95 |
| M24 | Peterborough · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.53 |
| M25 | Queens Park Rangers · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +0.79 |
| M26 | Stoke · Home25 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.16 |
| M27 | Middlesbrough · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.17 |
| M28 | Blackpool · Home8 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.22 |
| M29 | Reading · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.43 |
| M30 | Cardiff · Away15 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −0.07 |
| M31 | Barnsley · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +0.85 |
| M32 | Bristol City · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.24 |
| M33 | Preston · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.52 |
| M34 | Swansea · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.20 |
| M35 | Luton · Home8 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.46 |
| M36 | Sheffield United · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.17 |
| M37 | Hull · Home16 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.08 | −1.90 |
| M38 | Derby · Away19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.37 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −2.98 |
| M40 | Nottingham Forest · Away6 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.99 |
| M41 | Fulham · Away10 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.45 | −1.54 |
| M42 | Birmingham · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.23 |
| M43 | Bournemouth · Home18 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.56 |
| M44 | West Bromwich Albion · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.84 |
| M45 | Huddersfield · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −3.42 |
| M46 | Stoke · Away7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −3.58 |
| Total | 64 | −3.58 | |||