Points
90Points expected by the market
91.36Gap
−1.36Yield
−4.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 18 | 39 | −2.39 | −9.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 44 | −0.40 | −2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.43 | +10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 32 | −2.77 | −10.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.95 | −12.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.39 | −5.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 30 | +0.55 | +2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.43 | +10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Huddersfield · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.43 |
| M3 | Millwall · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.83 |
| M4 | Hull · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.54 |
| M5 | Stoke · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +3.70 |
| M6 | Blackpool · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +1.71 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Away15 Sep 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.07 |
| M8 | Reading · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.31 | +0.76 |
| M9 | Bristol City · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.23 |
| M10 | Swansea · Home29 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.53 |
| M11 | Coventry · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.18 |
| M12 | Queens Park Rangers · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.04 | −0.14 |
| M13 | Cardiff · Home20 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.62 |
| M14 | Nottingham Forest · Away24 Oct 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.87 |
| M15 | West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +3.20 |
| M16 | Blackburn · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.41 |
| M17 | Peterborough · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +5.23 |
| M18 | Barnsley · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +5.84 |
| M19 | Derby · Home24 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.27 | +4.56 |
| M20 | Preston · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +3.76 |
| M21 | Bournemouth · Home3 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +2.93 |
| M22 | Luton · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +2.18 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Home20 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.03 | +0.15 |
| M24 | Reading · Away11 Jan 2022 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.92 |
| M25 | Bristol City · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.51 | +1.43 |
| M26 | Birmingham · Home18 Jan 2022 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.63 | +2.06 |
| M27 | Stoke · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.33 |
| M28 | Blackpool · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.36 | +1.97 |
| M29 | Millwall · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +2.79 |
| M30 | Hull · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +3.72 |
| M31 | Huddersfield · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | +1.40 |
| M32 | Peterborough · Home23 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.42 | +1.81 |
| M33 | Cardiff · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.94 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.82 |
| M35 | Swansea · Away8 Mar 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.86 |
| M36 | Barnsley · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | +3.65 |
| M37 | West Bromwich Albion · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +2.06 |
| M38 | Queens Park Rangers · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.02 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Away6 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.45 |
| M40 | Coventry · Home10 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.26 | +2.18 |
| M41 | Derby · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.99 | +0.19 |
| M42 | Preston · Home19 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.93 |
| M43 | Bournemouth · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.63 |
| M44 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.08 |
| M45 | Luton · Home2 May 2022 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.26 |
| M46 | Sheffield United · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.36 |
| Total | 90 | −1.36 | |||