Points
82Points expected by the market
58.99Gap
+23.01Yield
+53.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.44 | +34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 46 | +12.34 | +38.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 20 | +7.23 | +89.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.44 | +34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +6.55 | +32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.03 | +31.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.78 | +44.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 16 | +6.20 | +105.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derby · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.12 |
| M2 | Fulham · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.05 |
| M3 | Preston · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.58 |
| M4 | Sheffield United · Away21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.75 |
| M5 | Reading · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.17 |
| M6 | Stoke · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +3.22 |
| M7 | Blackpool · Away14 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.91 |
| M8 | Nottingham Forest · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | +3.22 |
| M9 | Swansea · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.07 |
| M10 | Blackburn · Home28 Sep 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.68 |
| M11 | Luton · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.69 |
| M12 | Hull · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.99 |
| M13 | Birmingham · Home20 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +4.48 |
| M14 | Bournemouth · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +3.76 |
| M15 | Millwall · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +5.36 |
| M16 | Peterborough · Away2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +4.81 |
| M17 | Cardiff · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.65 |
| M18 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +5.64 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +4.60 |
| M20 | Middlesbrough · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.35 |
| M21 | Barnsley · Away4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.05 |
| M22 | Coventry · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.71 |
| M23 | Bristol City · Away18 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.44 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.78 |
| M25 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +7.72 |
| M26 | Blackburn · Away2 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +7.84 |
| M27 | Swansea · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +7.41 |
| M28 | Reading · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.56 | +8.97 |
| M29 | Stoke · Home28 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +8.47 |
| M30 | Derby · Home2 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +9.84 |
| M31 | Preston · Away9 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +9.78 |
| M32 | Sheffield United · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +9.75 |
| M33 | Fulham · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.51 | +12.25 |
| M34 | Cardiff · Home23 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +13.78 |
| M35 | Birmingham · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +15.52 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Home4 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +16.43 |
| M37 | West Bromwich Albion · Away11 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +16.53 |
| M38 | Millwall · Away16 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +15.36 |
| M39 | Bournemouth · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +14.19 |
| M40 | Hull · Away1 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +15.82 |
| M41 | Luton · Home11 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +17.35 |
| M42 | Queens Park Rangers · Home15 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +16.55 |
| M43 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +18.69 |
| M44 | Barnsley · Home22 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +19.70 |
| M45 | Coventry · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +21.56 |
| M46 | Bristol City · Home7 May 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +23.01 |
| Total | 82 | +23.01 | |||