Points
51Points expected by the market
53.14Gap
−2.14Yield
+12.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.09 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 36 | +2.24 | +9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | −0.29 | +35.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.09 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +0.99 | +13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +1.25 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +2.49 | +64.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Away7 Aug 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.85 |
| M2 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.39 |
| M3 | Derby · Home18 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.25 |
| M4 | Fulham · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −1.76 |
| M5 | Bournemouth · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.93 |
| M6 | Swansea · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.08 |
| M7 | Blackburn · Away14 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.03 |
| M8 | Sheffield United · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.09 |
| M9 | Stoke · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.94 |
| M10 | Blackpool · Home28 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.47 |
| M11 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.71 |
| M12 | Huddersfield · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.73 |
| M13 | Peterborough · Home20 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −6.44 |
| M14 | Luton · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.41 |
| M15 | Coventry · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −8.62 |
| M16 | West Bromwich Albion · Away3 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −9.32 |
| M17 | Barnsley · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −7.53 |
| M18 | Birmingham · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −5.92 |
| M19 | Cardiff · Away24 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −3.97 |
| M20 | Millwall · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −2.36 |
| M21 | Reading · Away4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.62 |
| M22 | Bristol City · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.37 |
| M23 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.34 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Away1 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.55 |
| M25 | Stoke · Home16 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.98 |
| M26 | Blackburn · Home19 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.18 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −2.84 |
| M28 | Swansea · Home29 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.15 |
| M29 | Preston · Home5 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.49 |
| M30 | Derby · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.64 |
| M31 | Fulham · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.35 |
| M32 | Sheffield United · Away15 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −4.03 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.99 |
| M34 | Barnsley · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −5.57 |
| M35 | Peterborough · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −3.92 |
| M36 | West Bromwich Albion · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −4.92 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −5.07 |
| M38 | Coventry · Away16 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −2.75 |
| M39 | Luton · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.08 |
| M40 | Huddersfield · Home1 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.41 |
| M41 | Middlesbrough · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.32 | −3.09 |
| M42 | Cardiff · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.60 |
| M43 | Millwall · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.42 |
| M44 | Reading · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.81 |
| M45 | Bristol City · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.95 |
| M46 | Nottingham Forest · Home7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.14 |
| Total | 51 | −2.14 | |||