Points
75Points expected by the market
63.16Gap
+11.84Yield
+19.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +0.53 | −10.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 42 | +9.49 | +37.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.82 | +12.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.16 | −11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 24 | +7.07 | +57.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.37 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.42 | +18.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +1.82 | +25.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterborough · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | West Bromwich Albion · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.64 |
| M3 | Barnsley · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.50 |
| M4 | Birmingham · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Sheffield United · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.72 |
| M6 | Blackburn · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.68 |
| M7 | Bristol City · Away15 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.50 |
| M8 | Swansea · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.11 |
| M9 | Bournemouth · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.86 |
| M10 | Coventry · Home29 Sep 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.83 |
| M11 | Huddersfield · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.09 |
| M12 | Millwall · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.83 |
| M13 | Derby · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.42 |
| M14 | Hull · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.65 |
| M15 | Preston · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.39 |
| M16 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.84 |
| M17 | Stoke · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.37 |
| M18 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.19 |
| M19 | Nottingham Forest · Away23 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.07 |
| M20 | Cardiff · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.75 |
| M21 | Blackpool · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.13 |
| M22 | Fulham · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.13 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.66 |
| M24 | Reading · Away19 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.84 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.88 |
| M26 | Bristol City · Home25 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.06 |
| M27 | Blackburn · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.60 |
| M28 | Swansea · Away1 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +4.54 |
| M29 | Barnsley · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.55 |
| M30 | Birmingham · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +4.09 |
| M31 | West Bromwich Albion · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.91 |
| M32 | Stoke · Away23 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +7.86 |
| M33 | Derby · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +9.07 |
| M34 | Middlesbrough · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +8.21 |
| M35 | Coventry · Away8 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +10.16 |
| M36 | Queens Park Rangers · Home13 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | +8.47 |
| M37 | Preston · Home16 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +9.98 |
| M38 | Hull · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +11.61 |
| M39 | Millwall · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +11.02 |
| M40 | Peterborough · Away5 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +10.21 |
| M41 | Huddersfield · Away11 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +8.99 |
| M42 | Nottingham Forest · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +10.65 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +12.22 |
| M44 | Blackpool · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +11.49 |
| M45 | Fulham · Away2 May 2022 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.61 | +10.89 |
| M46 | Reading · Home7 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +11.84 |
| Total | 75 | +11.84 | |||