Points
70Points expected by the market
71.50Gap
−1.50Yield
−9.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.64 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 37 | +0.48 | +9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | −1.91 | −11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.64 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 31 | +3.47 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.28 | +17.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.99 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −2.19 | −25.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fulham · Away8 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.08 |
| M2 | Bristol City · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.40 |
| M3 | Queens Park Rangers · Home18 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.04 |
| M4 | Derby · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.37 |
| M5 | Blackburn · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.85 |
| M6 | Coventry · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.00 |
| M7 | Nottingham Forest · Away15 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.33 |
| M8 | Blackpool · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −2.14 |
| M9 | Reading · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.70 |
| M10 | Sheffield United · Home28 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.92 |
| M11 | Hull · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.38 |
| M12 | Peterborough · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −2.25 |
| M13 | Barnsley · Home20 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.09 |
| M14 | Cardiff · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.62 |
| M15 | Birmingham · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.06 |
| M16 | Luton · Away2 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.22 |
| M17 | West Bromwich Albion · Away6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −2.01 |
| M18 | Millwall · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −2.62 |
| M19 | Preston · Home23 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.20 |
| M20 | Huddersfield · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.64 |
| M21 | Swansea · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.35 |
| M22 | Stoke · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.66 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | 0.00 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.25 |
| M25 | Blackpool · Away29 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.69 |
| M26 | Reading · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.32 |
| M27 | Blackburn · Away24 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.96 |
| M28 | Coventry · Home29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.22 |
| M29 | Queens Park Rangers · Away9 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.90 |
| M30 | Derby · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.89 |
| M31 | Bristol City · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.25 |
| M32 | West Bromwich Albion · Home22 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.74 |
| M33 | Barnsley · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.77 | +1.97 |
| M34 | Luton · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.10 |
| M35 | Sheffield United · Away8 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.06 |
| M36 | Millwall · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.65 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Away15 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.94 |
| M38 | Peterborough · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.95 |
| M39 | Fulham · Home6 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +2.80 |
| M40 | Hull · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +0.71 |
| M41 | Bournemouth · Away15 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.75 |
| M42 | Huddersfield · Home18 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.12 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.61 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Home27 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −0.72 |
| M45 | Stoke · Home30 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.38 |
| M46 | Preston · Away7 May 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.50 |
| Total | 70 | −1.50 | |||