Points
80Points expected by the market
66.14Gap
+13.86Yield
+19.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 34 | +9.83 | +49.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 29 | −1.01 | −13.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 14 | +4.23 | +50.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 31 | +8.89 | +48.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.75 | −48.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.94 | +56.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +2.74 | +11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +5.21 | +66.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coventry · Away8 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Bournemouth · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.51 |
| M3 | Blackburn · Home18 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.93 |
| M4 | Stoke · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.77 |
| M5 | Derby · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −4.94 |
| M6 | Cardiff · Home12 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −6.35 |
| M7 | Middlesbrough · Home15 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.70 |
| M8 | Huddersfield · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −5.73 |
| M9 | Millwall · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −6.20 |
| M10 | Barnsley · Away29 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.40 |
| M11 | Birmingham · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −2.51 |
| M12 | Blackpool · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.26 |
| M13 | Bristol City · Away19 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.32 |
| M14 | Fulham · Home24 Oct 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.66 |
| M15 | Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.78 |
| M16 | Sheffield United · Home2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.97 |
| M17 | Preston · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.49 |
| M18 | Reading · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.05 |
| M19 | Luton · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.38 |
| M20 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.11 |
| M21 | Peterborough · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.06 |
| M22 | Swansea · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.00 |
| M23 | Hull · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.25 |
| M24 | Middlesbrough · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.29 |
| M25 | Huddersfield · Home30 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.64 |
| M26 | Millwall · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.39 |
| M27 | Derby · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +4.58 |
| M28 | Barnsley · Home25 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.47 |
| M29 | Cardiff · Away30 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.95 |
| M30 | Blackburn · Away9 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.77 |
| M31 | Stoke · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +5.08 |
| M32 | Preston · Away22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.69 |
| M33 | Bristol City · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.81 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Away4 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +5.88 |
| M35 | Reading · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +6.78 |
| M36 | Queens Park Rangers · Home16 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +7.95 |
| M37 | Blackpool · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +9.45 |
| M38 | Coventry · Home6 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +10.74 |
| M39 | Birmingham · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +11.73 |
| M40 | Luton · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +10.36 |
| M41 | West Bromwich Albion · Home18 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +11.82 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Away23 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +12.76 |
| M43 | Fulham · Away26 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +14.75 |
| M44 | Swansea · Home30 Apr 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +15.55 |
| M45 | Bournemouth · Away3 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +14.39 |
| M46 | Hull · Away7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +13.86 |
| Total | 80 | +13.86 | |||