Points
37Points expected by the market
44.57Gap
−7.57Yield
−28.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −3.40 | −26.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 30 | 20 | −4.18 | −29.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.06 | −9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.32 | −12.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −3.86 | −38.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Luton · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.15 |
| M2 | Derby · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.38 |
| M3 | Cardiff · Home17 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.10 |
| M4 | Preston · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.12 |
| M5 | West Bromwich Albion · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.95 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.76 |
| M7 | Reading · Away14 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.85 |
| M8 | Birmingham · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.96 |
| M9 | Coventry · Away24 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.72 |
| M10 | Bournemouth · Home29 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.54 |
| M11 | Bristol City · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.01 |
| M12 | Middlesbrough · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.88 |
| M13 | Hull · Away20 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −2.89 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.90 |
| M15 | Swansea · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.67 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Home2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.83 |
| M17 | Fulham · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.45 |
| M18 | Stoke · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.20 |
| M19 | Blackburn · Away24 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.08 |
| M20 | Barnsley · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.66 |
| M21 | Nottingham Forest · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.56 |
| M22 | Millwall · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −3.76 |
| M23 | Blackpool · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.82 |
| M24 | Coventry · Home15 Jan 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −6.12 |
| M25 | West Bromwich Albion · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −6.66 |
| M26 | Birmingham · Away25 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −6.62 |
| M27 | Sheffield United · Home29 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −7.44 |
| M28 | Cardiff · Away9 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −8.20 |
| M29 | Preston · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −9.17 |
| M30 | Reading · Home16 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −9.58 |
| M31 | Derby · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −10.49 |
| M32 | Fulham · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −10.79 |
| M33 | Hull · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −12.14 |
| M34 | Huddersfield · Away4 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −12.82 |
| M35 | Bournemouth · Away8 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | −12.27 |
| M36 | Stoke · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −12.39 |
| M37 | Swansea · Home16 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −13.55 |
| M38 | Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −11.38 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −12.15 |
| M40 | Luton · Home5 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −12.08 |
| M41 | Bristol City · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −11.99 |
| M42 | Blackburn · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −9.81 |
| M43 | Barnsley · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −7.89 |
| M44 | Nottingham Forest · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −8.61 |
| M45 | Millwall · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −9.24 |
| M46 | Blackpool · Home7 May 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −7.57 |
| Total | 37 | −7.57 | |||