Points
64Points expected by the market
60.93Gap
+3.07Yield
+4.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.34 | −12.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 29 | −2.54 | −20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 16 | +5.95 | +73.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.63 | −32.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +3.52 | +18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.15 | +49.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.29 | +80.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −6.06 | −52.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 11 | +3.81 | +83.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hull · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.56 |
| M2 | Reading · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.76 |
| M3 | Huddersfield · Away17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.09 |
| M4 | Peterborough · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −2.57 |
| M5 | Swansea · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.10 |
| M6 | Bristol City · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.29 |
| M7 | Sheffield United · Away14 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −1.18 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −1.22 |
| M9 | Birmingham · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.43 |
| M10 | Stoke · Home28 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.82 |
| M11 | Queens Park Rangers · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.84 |
| M12 | Derby · Home16 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −3.57 |
| M13 | Coventry · Home20 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.00 |
| M14 | Blackpool · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.42 |
| M15 | Luton · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.85 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +0.33 |
| M17 | Nottingham Forest · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.83 |
| M18 | Cardiff · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −2.52 |
| M19 | Middlesbrough · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.64 |
| M20 | Fulham · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.58 |
| M21 | Blackburn · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.75 |
| M22 | Barnsley · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.58 |
| M23 | Stoke · Away3 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.30 |
| M24 | Birmingham · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.54 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Home18 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.27 |
| M26 | Swansea · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.81 |
| M27 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +1.46 |
| M28 | Bristol City · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +0.67 |
| M29 | Millwall · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.49 |
| M30 | Hull · Away5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.14 |
| M31 | Huddersfield · Home9 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.50 |
| M32 | Peterborough · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.76 |
| M33 | Reading · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.91 | +0.86 |
| M34 | Nottingham Forest · Home22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.56 |
| M35 | Coventry · Away26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.57 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.38 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +2.18 |
| M38 | Luton · Away16 Mar 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.97 |
| M39 | Derby · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.33 |
| M40 | Blackpool · Home5 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.05 |
| M41 | Queens Park Rangers · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.38 |
| M42 | Millwall · Home15 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.88 |
| M43 | Fulham · Away19 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.33 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Home25 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.07 |
| M45 | Barnsley · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.95 |
| M46 | Middlesbrough · Home7 May 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +3.07 |
| Total | 64 | +3.07 | |||