← Championship 2021-22

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Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

50.19

Gap

−3.19

Yield

+10.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.32	−0.32	+4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	21	25	28.03	−3.03	−21.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	23	19	18.84	+0.16	+41.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.32	−0.32	+4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	23	21.87	+1.13	+2.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	0	4.34	−4.34	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	2	6.16	−4.16	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	18	19	14.50	+4.50	+80.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Stoke · Away7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	L 2-3	4.25	0.97	0	−0.97	−0.97	−€1.00
M2	Preston · Home14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 2-1	2.42	1.49	3	+1.51	+0.55	+€1.42
M3	Bristol City · Home17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	L 2-3	2.29	1.55	0	−1.55	−1.00	−€1.00
M4	Coventry · Away21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	L 1-2	3.78	1.05	0	−1.05	−2.05	−€1.00
M5	Huddersfield · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-4	3.47	1.12	0	−1.12	−3.17	−€1.00
M6	Queens Park Rangers · Home11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	D 3-3	2.94	1.25	1	−0.25	−3.42	−€1.00
M7	Peterborough · Home14 Sep 2021	14 Sep 2021	W 3-1	2.08	1.64	3	+1.36	−2.06	+€1.08
M8	Fulham · Away18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	W 2-1	8.77	0.51	3	+2.49	+0.43	+€7.77
M9	Middlesbrough · Home25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	W 1-0	3.28	1.16	3	+1.84	+2.27	+€2.28
M10	Derby · Away29 Sep 2021	29 Sep 2021	L 0-1	3.43	1.12	0	−1.12	+1.16	−€1.00
M11	Cardiff · Away2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	W 1-0	3.74	1.04	3	+1.96	+3.12	+€2.74
M12	Barnsley · Home16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	W 1-0	2.32	1.52	3	+1.48	+4.60	+€1.32
M13	Blackpool · Home20 Oct 2021	20 Oct 2021	L 2-3	2.03	1.68	0	−1.68	+2.93	−€1.00
M14	Blackburn · Away23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	L 0-2	4.95	0.83	0	−0.83	+2.10	−€1.00
M15	Bournemouth · Home30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	L 0-2	5.08	0.82	0	−0.82	+1.28	−€1.00
M16	Millwall · Away2 Nov 2021	2 Nov 2021	L 0-1	4.75	0.88	0	−0.88	+0.40	−€1.00
M17	Birmingham · Away6 Nov 2021	6 Nov 2021	W 2-1	4.14	0.97	3	+2.03	+2.43	+€3.14
M18	Nottingham Forest · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	D 1-1	3.01	1.25	1	−0.25	+2.18	−€1.00
M19	Sheffield United · Home23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	L 0-1	3.54	1.09	0	−1.09	+1.09	−€1.00
M20	Swansea · Away27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	W 3-2	4.70	0.88	3	+2.12	+3.21	+€3.70
M21	Hull · Home4 Dec 2021	4 Dec 2021	D 1-1	2.47	1.45	1	−0.45	+2.76	−€1.00
M22	West Bromwich Albion · Away11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	L 0-1	8.35	0.54	0	−0.54	+2.22	−€1.00
M23	Derby · Home3 Jan 2022	3 Jan 2022	D 2-2	2.59	1.40	1	−0.40	+1.82	−€1.00
M24	Fulham · Home11 Jan 2022	11 Jan 2022	L 0-7	7.53	0.57	0	−0.57	+1.24	−€1.00
M25	Middlesbrough · Away15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	L 1-2	9.52	0.47	0	−0.47	+0.77	−€1.00
M26	Luton · Home19 Jan 2022	19 Jan 2022	L 0-2	4.42	0.91	0	−0.91	−0.14	−€1.00
M27	Huddersfield · Home22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	L 3-4	2.92	1.27	0	−1.27	−1.41	−€1.00
M28	Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	L 0-4	4.74	0.85	0	−0.85	−2.26	−€1.00
M29	Bristol City · Away9 Feb 2022	9 Feb 2022	L 1-2	4.24	0.93	0	−0.93	−3.19	−€1.00
M30	Coventry · Home12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	L 2-3	4.14	0.95	0	−0.95	−4.14	−€1.00
M31	Peterborough · Away16 Feb 2022	16 Feb 2022	D 0-0	2.81	1.30	1	−0.30	−4.44	−€1.00
M32	Preston · Away19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	W 3-2	5.01	0.83	3	+2.17	−2.28	+€4.01
M33	Birmingham · Home22 Feb 2022	22 Feb 2022	W 2-1	2.40	1.48	3	+1.52	−0.75	+€1.40
M34	Blackpool · Away26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 1-4	3.63	1.06	0	−1.06	−1.81	−€1.00
M35	Millwall · Home5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	L 0-1	2.94	1.27	0	−1.27	−3.09	−€1.00
M36	Nottingham Forest · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	L 0-4	6.32	0.68	0	−0.68	−3.76	−€1.00
M37	Bournemouth · Away15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	D 1-1	7.40	0.59	1	+0.41	−3.35	−€1.00
M38	Blackburn · Home19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	W 1-0	3.25	1.18	3	+1.82	−1.53	+€2.25
M39	Barnsley · Away2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	D 1-1	2.80	1.32	1	−0.32	−1.85	−€1.00
M40	Stoke · Home5 Apr 2022	5 Apr 2022	W 2-1	2.77	1.34	3	+1.66	−0.19	+€1.77
M41	Cardiff · Home9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	L 1-2	2.20	1.59	0	−1.59	−1.78	−€1.00
M42	Sheffield United · Away15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	W 2-1	6.15	0.72	3	+2.28	+0.51	+€5.15
M43	Swansea · Home18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	D 4-4	2.41	1.47	1	−0.47	+0.03	−€1.00
M44	Hull · Away23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	L 0-3	2.87	1.30	0	−1.30	−1.27	−€1.00
M45	West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 0-1	3.11	1.20	0	−1.20	−2.47	−€1.00
M46	Luton · Away7 May 2022	7 May 2022	L 0-1	5.99	0.72	0	−0.72	−3.19	−€1.00
Total					50.19	47	−3.19		+€5.03