Points
75Points expected by the market
78.26Gap
−3.26Yield
−7.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +48.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 30 | 55 | +0.18 | −1.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −6.38 | −62.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.23 | +179.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +48.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 34 | −1.79 | −4.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.04 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +1.96 | +4.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −7.41 | −77.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.23 | +179.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.97 |
| M2 | Swansea · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.59 |
| M3 | West Bromwich Albion · Away18 Aug 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.63 |
| M4 | Huddersfield · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −5.52 |
| M5 | Luton · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.00 |
| M6 | Peterborough · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.08 | −4.93 |
| M7 | Preston · Home14 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | −5.76 |
| M8 | Hull · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.41 |
| M9 | Derby · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −3.43 |
| M10 | Middlesbrough · Away28 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.91 |
| M11 | Bournemouth · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −6.02 |
| M12 | Stoke · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.63 |
| M13 | Millwall · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −6.44 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Away24 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | −5.21 |
| M15 | Blackpool · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.08 | −7.29 |
| M16 | Nottingham Forest · Away2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −7.81 |
| M17 | Blackburn · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −9.47 |
| M18 | Coventry · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −10.21 |
| M19 | Reading · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −8.83 |
| M20 | Bristol City · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −7.97 |
| M21 | Cardiff · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −6.52 |
| M22 | Fulham · Away20 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | −4.26 |
| M23 | Derby · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.89 |
| M24 | Preston · Away18 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −6.32 |
| M25 | Luton · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −5.08 |
| M26 | Peterborough · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −4.02 |
| M27 | Birmingham · Away4 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.71 |
| M28 | West Bromwich Albion · Home9 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.25 |
| M29 | Huddersfield · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.94 |
| M30 | Hull · Home15 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.10 | −3.04 |
| M31 | Swansea · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −2.02 |
| M32 | Blackburn · Home23 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −0.87 |
| M33 | Millwall · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.37 |
| M34 | Nottingham Forest · Home4 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.16 |
| M35 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Mar 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.83 |
| M36 | Coventry · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.17 |
| M37 | Blackpool · Away16 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −3.70 |
| M38 | Barnsley · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −2.84 |
| M39 | Stoke · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.32 |
| M40 | Queens Park Rangers · Home5 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −3.30 |
| M41 | Bournemouth · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.72 |
| M42 | Reading · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −5.75 |
| M43 | Bristol City · Away18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −6.50 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −5.62 |
| M45 | Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −4.62 |
| M46 | Fulham · Home7 May 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.26 |
| Total | 75 | −3.26 | |||