Points
62Points expected by the market
66.41Gap
−4.41Yield
−4.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 25 | −3.63 | −17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 30 | −0.15 | +3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.63 | +1.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 25 | −3.63 | −17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.77 | +46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −1.91 | −13.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.36 | +16.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reading · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.26 |
| M2 | Birmingham · Away14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.81 |
| M3 | Swansea · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.34 |
| M4 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.45 |
| M5 | Fulham · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.57 |
| M6 | Huddersfield · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.81 |
| M7 | Barnsley · Home15 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +2.82 |
| M8 | Derby · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.22 |
| M9 | Hull · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.34 |
| M10 | Preston · Away28 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.04 |
| M11 | West Bromwich Albion · Home1 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.90 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +2.79 |
| M13 | Bournemouth · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.42 |
| M14 | Millwall · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.08 |
| M15 | Cardiff · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.77 |
| M16 | Blackpool · Away3 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.68 |
| M17 | Luton · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.45 |
| M18 | Peterborough · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.43 |
| M19 | Bristol City · Away24 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +1.84 |
| M20 | Blackburn · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.23 |
| M21 | Queens Park Rangers · Away5 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.03 |
| M22 | Middlesbrough · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.65 |
| M23 | Derby · Home30 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −0.26 |
| M24 | Preston · Home3 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.84 |
| M25 | Hull · Away16 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.11 |
| M26 | Fulham · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.10 |
| M27 | Coventry · Away25 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.17 |
| M28 | Huddersfield · Away28 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.38 |
| M29 | Swansea · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −1.02 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.04 |
| M31 | Birmingham · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | −1.91 |
| M32 | Luton · Home23 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −3.57 |
| M33 | Bournemouth · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.42 |
| M34 | Blackpool · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −6.13 |
| M35 | Barnsley · Away8 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −6.50 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −7.09 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Away16 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −8.37 |
| M38 | Millwall · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −6.91 |
| M39 | Sheffield United · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −5.14 |
| M40 | Reading · Away5 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −6.49 |
| M41 | West Bromwich Albion · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.05 | −4.45 |
| M42 | Bristol City · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | −6.29 |
| M43 | Blackburn · Away18 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −4.31 |
| M44 | Queens Park Rangers · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −2.99 |
| M45 | Middlesbrough · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.84 |
| M46 | Coventry · Home7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.41 |
| Total | 62 | −4.41 | |||