Points
61Points expected by the market
60.01Gap
+0.99Yield
−2.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.30 | −28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 34 | +6.16 | +16.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | −0.86 | −9.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.30 | −28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +5.46 | +45.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +0.70 | −4.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | −0.01 | +15.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackburn · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Sheffield United · Home14 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.17 |
| M3 | Stoke · Home17 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.39 |
| M4 | Bristol City · Away20 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.52 |
| M5 | Preston · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.68 |
| M6 | Hull · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.24 |
| M7 | Millwall · Home15 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.67 |
| M8 | Luton · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.77 |
| M9 | Huddersfield · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.33 |
| M10 | Fulham · Away29 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.89 |
| M11 | Derby · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.14 |
| M12 | Cardiff · Home17 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.63 |
| M13 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.25 |
| M14 | Birmingham · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.03 |
| M15 | Peterborough · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +0.97 |
| M16 | Coventry · Away2 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.80 |
| M17 | Bournemouth · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.94 |
| M18 | Blackpool · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +1.10 |
| M19 | Barnsley · Away24 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.63 |
| M20 | Reading · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +0.78 |
| M21 | Middlesbrough · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.23 |
| M22 | Nottingham Forest · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.87 |
| M23 | Huddersfield · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.14 |
| M24 | Preston · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.77 |
| M25 | Queens Park Rangers · Away25 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.98 |
| M26 | Hull · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.36 |
| M27 | Luton · Home1 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −4.00 |
| M28 | Blackburn · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.55 |
| M29 | Stoke · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.62 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Home13 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.27 |
| M31 | Sheffield United · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.04 |
| M32 | West Bromwich Albion · Away28 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.83 |
| M33 | Coventry · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.80 |
| M34 | Fulham · Home8 Mar 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.01 |
| M35 | Blackpool · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Away16 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.27 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.49 |
| M38 | Cardiff · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.41 |
| M39 | Millwall · Away5 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +3.34 |
| M40 | Derby · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.69 |
| M41 | Barnsley · Home15 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +3.74 |
| M42 | Reading · Away18 Apr 2022 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.51 |
| M43 | Middlesbrough · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.28 |
| M44 | Bournemouth · Home26 Apr 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.03 | +3.30 |
| M45 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.60 | +2.70 |
| M46 | Queens Park Rangers · Home7 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +0.99 |
| Total | 61 | +0.99 | |||