Points
67Points expected by the market
80.40Gap
−13.40Yield
−24.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 14 | +0.52 | −9.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 25 | 39 | −7.39 | −26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −5.46 | −22.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 14 | +0.52 | −9.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 23 | −3.72 | −24.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.10 | +105.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.66 | −29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −8.57 | −56.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Away6 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | Luton · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.79 |
| M3 | Sheffield United · Home18 Aug 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.13 |
| M4 | Blackburn · Away21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.49 |
| M5 | Peterborough · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.57 |
| M6 | Millwall · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +3.53 |
| M7 | Derby · Home14 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.17 | +2.37 |
| M8 | Preston · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +1.67 |
| M9 | Queens Park Rangers · Home24 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.72 |
| M10 | Cardiff · Away28 Sep 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.99 |
| M11 | Stoke · Away1 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.43 |
| M12 | Birmingham · Home15 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +3.38 |
| M13 | Swansea · Away20 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +1.80 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +2.62 |
| M15 | Fulham · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.56 |
| M16 | Hull · Home3 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.49 |
| M17 | Middlesbrough · Home6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +1.55 |
| M18 | Huddersfield · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.16 |
| M19 | Blackpool · Away23 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.93 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | −1.94 |
| M21 | Coventry · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.43 |
| M22 | Reading · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.30 |
| M23 | Barnsley · Away17 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.70 |
| M24 | Derby · Away27 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | −2.75 |
| M25 | Cardiff · Home2 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.17 | −3.92 |
| M26 | Queens Park Rangers · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.45 |
| M27 | Peterborough · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −4.71 |
| M28 | Preston · Home26 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −6.72 |
| M29 | Millwall · Away29 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −8.32 |
| M30 | Sheffield United · Away9 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −9.49 |
| M31 | Blackburn · Home14 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | −10.25 |
| M32 | Luton · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −11.77 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Away22 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −12.96 |
| M34 | Swansea · Home28 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −14.91 |
| M35 | Hull · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −13.62 |
| M36 | Huddersfield · Home11 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −14.43 |
| M37 | Fulham · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −12.56 |
| M38 | Bristol City · Away19 Mar 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −13.32 |
| M39 | Birmingham · Away3 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −15.00 |
| M40 | Bournemouth · Home6 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −13.34 |
| M41 | Stoke · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.76 | −15.10 |
| M42 | Blackpool · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −13.84 |
| M43 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −15.01 |
| M44 | Coventry · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −15.45 |
| M45 | Reading · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −13.96 |
| M46 | Barnsley · Home7 May 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −13.40 |
| Total | 67 | −13.40 | |||