Points
69Points expected by the market
61.33Gap
+7.67Yield
+22.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +4.22 | +29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 31 | −2.97 | −2.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 18 | +6.42 | +70.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +4.22 | +29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.00 | +29.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.83 | +83.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.96 | −32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 15 | +5.58 | +67.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park Rangers · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.28 |
| M2 | Swansea · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.97 |
| M3 | West Bromwich Albion · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.75 |
| M4 | Reading · Away17 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.29 |
| M5 | Sheffield United · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.33 |
| M6 | Stoke · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.88 |
| M7 | Blackpool · Away31 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.64 |
| M8 | Bristol City · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.11 |
| M9 | Watford · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Luton · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.56 |
| M11 | Millwall · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.02 |
| M12 | Cardiff · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.81 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.05 |
| M14 | Wigan · Away11 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.70 |
| M15 | Middlesbrough · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.74 |
| M16 | Sunderland · Home18 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.25 |
| M17 | Birmingham · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.65 |
| M18 | Hull · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +8.40 |
| M19 | Coventry · Away1 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +7.20 |
| M20 | Huddersfield · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +8.34 |
| M21 | Burnley · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +7.48 |
| M22 | Preston · Home10 Dec 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.61 | +5.87 |
| M23 | Norwich · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +8.02 |
| M24 | Sunderland · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +6.90 |
| M25 | Middlesbrough · Home29 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +5.70 |
| M26 | Cardiff · Home1 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +7.16 |
| M27 | Rotherham · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +5.61 |
| M28 | Bristol City · Away21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +5.52 |
| M29 | Wigan · Home6 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +4.85 |
| M30 | Watford · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +4.95 |
| M31 | West Bromwich Albion · Away15 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +5.23 |
| M32 | Swansea · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.96 |
| M33 | Blackpool · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +8.29 |
| M34 | Queens Park Rangers · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +10.23 |
| M35 | Sheffield United · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +12.18 |
| M36 | Stoke · Away10 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +11.12 |
| M37 | Reading · Home15 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +12.19 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +10.87 |
| M39 | Norwich · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +9.45 |
| M40 | Huddersfield · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +8.99 |
| M41 | Hull · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +8.02 |
| M42 | Coventry · Home19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +7.62 |
| M43 | Preston · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +7.33 |
| M44 | Burnley · Home25 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +6.21 |
| M45 | Luton · Home1 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +5.64 |
| M46 | Millwall · Away8 May 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.03 | +7.67 |
| Total | 69 | +7.67 | |||