Points
44Points expected by the market
51.47Gap
−7.47Yield
−21.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.46 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 22 | −3.62 | −8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 15 | −4.32 | −38.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.46 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.69 | −19.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.52 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | +0.07 | +27.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | −1.80 | −24.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reading · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.32 |
| M2 | Stoke · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.26 |
| M3 | Swansea · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.18 |
| M4 | Queens Park Rangers · Away16 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +0.85 |
| M5 | Burnley · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.30 | +1.14 |
| M6 | Bristol City · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.62 |
| M7 | Blackburn · Home31 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.86 |
| M8 | Huddersfield · Away4 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.90 |
| M9 | Rotherham · Away14 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.30 |
| M10 | Millwall · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.25 |
| M11 | Norwich · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.22 |
| M12 | Sunderland · Away4 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.17 |
| M13 | Watford · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −0.34 |
| M14 | Sheffield United · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.12 |
| M15 | Hull · Home19 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.72 |
| M16 | Preston · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.03 |
| M17 | Coventry · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +2.00 |
| M18 | West Bromwich Albion · Away1 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.20 |
| M19 | Luton · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.16 |
| M20 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.32 |
| M21 | Wigan · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.54 |
| M22 | Birmingham · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.78 |
| M23 | Cardiff · Away17 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.61 |
| M24 | Hull · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −2.61 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Home29 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.45 |
| M26 | Sunderland · Home1 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.72 |
| M27 | Watford · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.64 |
| M28 | Middlesbrough · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −5.30 |
| M29 | Huddersfield · Home7 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.83 |
| M30 | Rotherham · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −6.46 |
| M31 | Swansea · Away15 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −7.22 |
| M32 | Stoke · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −5.37 |
| M33 | Blackburn · Away21 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.43 |
| M34 | Reading · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.55 |
| M35 | Burnley · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | −7.22 |
| M36 | Bristol City · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −8.21 |
| M37 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Mar 2023 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −6.65 |
| M38 | Coventry · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.82 |
| M39 | Preston · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.90 |
| M40 | Cardiff · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −10.25 |
| M41 | Luton · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −10.82 |
| M42 | Wigan · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −9.45 |
| M43 | West Bromwich Albion · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −10.49 |
| M44 | Birmingham · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −8.63 |
| M45 | Millwall · Home28 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −9.77 |
| M46 | Norwich · Away8 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | −7.47 |
| Total | 44 | −7.47 | |||