← Championship 2022-23

Bristol City

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLWLW

Points

Points expected by the market

58.24

Gap

+0.76

Yield

−7.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	16	13.70	+2.30	−1.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	32	31.81	+0.19	+1.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	11	12.73	−1.73	−25.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	16	13.70	+2.30	−1.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	17	17.81	−0.81	+1.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	2.12	−1.12	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	15	14.01	+0.99	+2.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	10	10.61	−0.61	−12.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Hull · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 1-2	3.00	1.25	0	−1.25	−1.25	−€1.00
M2	Sunderland · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 2-3	2.37	1.49	0	−1.49	−2.73	−€1.00
M3	Wigan · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.36	1.13	1	−0.13	−2.87	−€1.00
M4	Luton · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	W 2-0	2.79	1.31	3	+1.69	−1.18	+€1.79
M5	Cardiff · Home21 Aug 2022	21 Aug 2022	W 2-0	2.33	1.52	3	+1.48	+0.30	+€1.33
M6	Blackpool · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 3-3	3.09	1.20	1	−0.20	+0.10	−€1.00
M7	Huddersfield · Home31 Aug 2022	31 Aug 2022	W 2-0	1.78	1.85	3	+1.15	+1.25	+€0.78
M8	Blackburn · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 3-2	3.08	1.20	3	+1.80	+3.05	+€2.08
M9	Norwich · Away14 Sep 2022	14 Sep 2022	L 2-3	4.95	0.80	0	−0.80	+2.24	−€1.00
M10	Burnley · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-2	4.27	0.91	0	−0.91	+1.33	−€1.00
M11	Queens Park Rangers · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 1-2	2.24	1.55	0	−1.55	−0.22	−€1.00
M12	Coventry · Home4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	D 0-0	2.15	1.59	1	−0.59	−0.81	−€1.00
M13	Birmingham · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-3	2.68	1.34	0	−1.34	−2.15	−€1.00
M14	Preston · Home12 Oct 2022	12 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.41	1.48	3	+1.52	−0.62	+€1.41
M15	Millwall · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 1-2	2.53	1.42	0	−1.42	−2.05	−€1.00
M16	West Bromwich Albion · Away18 Oct 2022	18 Oct 2022	W 2-0	4.60	0.86	3	+2.14	+0.09	+€3.60
M17	Reading · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 0-2	2.77	1.31	0	−1.31	−1.22	−€1.00
M18	Swansea · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.71	1.33	1	−0.33	−1.56	−€1.00
M19	Sheffield United · Home1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	L 0-1	3.32	1.13	0	−1.13	−2.69	−€1.00
M20	Middlesbrough · Away5 Nov 2022	5 Nov 2022	D 1-1	4.53	0.89	1	+0.11	−2.57	−€1.00
M21	Watford · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 0-0	2.96	1.25	1	−0.25	−2.82	−€1.00
M22	Rotherham · Away10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 3-1	2.42	1.46	3	+1.54	−1.27	+€1.42
M23	Stoke · Home17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	L 1-2	2.47	1.44	0	−1.44	−2.72	−€1.00
M24	West Bromwich Albion · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 0-2	2.92	1.26	0	−1.26	−3.98	−€1.00
M25	Millwall · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	D 0-0	4.83	0.85	1	+0.15	−3.83	−€1.00
M26	Coventry · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	D 1-1	3.70	1.05	1	−0.05	−3.88	−€1.00
M27	Birmingham · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 4-2	2.15	1.62	3	+1.38	−2.50	+€1.15
M28	Blackburn · Home21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	D 1-1	2.10	1.64	1	−0.64	−3.14	−€1.00
M29	Preston · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 2-1	3.00	1.25	3	+1.75	−1.39	+€2.00
M30	Norwich · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	W 1-0	3.16	1.18	3	+1.82	+0.43	+€2.16
M31	Wigan · Home15 Feb 2023	15 Feb 2023	D 1-1	2.06	1.69	1	−0.69	−0.25	−€1.00
M32	Sunderland · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	D 1-1	3.96	0.99	1	+0.01	−0.24	−€1.00
M33	Hull · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 1-0	2.48	1.45	3	+1.55	+1.31	+€1.48
M34	Cardiff · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.41	1.14	0	−1.14	+0.17	−€1.00
M35	Huddersfield · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	D 0-0	2.61	1.40	1	−0.40	−0.24	−€1.00
M36	Blackpool · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 2-0	1.95	1.74	3	+1.26	+1.03	+€0.95
M37	Luton · Away15 Mar 2023	15 Mar 2023	L 0-1	4.69	0.89	0	−0.89	+0.14	−€1.00
M38	Swansea · Away19 Mar 2023	19 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.78	1.03	0	−1.03	−0.88	−€1.00
M39	Reading · Home1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	D 1-1	1.79	1.86	1	−0.86	−1.75	−€1.00
M40	Stoke · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 2-1	5.90	0.72	3	+2.28	+0.53	+€4.90
M41	Middlesbrough · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 2-2	3.69	1.04	1	−0.04	+0.50	−€1.00
M42	Watford · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 0-2	3.80	1.03	0	−1.03	−0.53	−€1.00
M43	Sheffield United · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 0-1	7.36	0.60	0	−0.60	−1.13	−€1.00
M44	Rotherham · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 2-1	1.98	1.71	3	+1.29	+0.16	+€0.98
M45	Burnley · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	L 1-2	3.51	1.08	0	−1.08	−0.92	−€1.00
M46	Queens Park Rangers · Away8 May 2023	8 May 2023	W 2-0	2.74	1.32	3	+1.68	+0.76	+€1.74
Total					58.24	59	+0.76		−€3.23