Points
101Points expected by the market
82.14Gap
+18.86Yield
+24.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.06 | −24.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 50 | +8.32 | +15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 37 | +12.59 | +55.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.06 | −24.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 34 | +7.00 | +24.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.88 | +125.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.32 | −0.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 31 | +9.72 | +46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Huddersfield · Away29 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Luton · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.68 |
| M3 | Watford · Away12 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.54 |
| M4 | Hull · Home16 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.70 |
| M5 | Blackpool · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.06 | −2.76 |
| M6 | Wigan · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.29 |
| M7 | Millwall · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.13 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Away2 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.30 |
| M9 | Preston · Away13 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.77 |
| M10 | Bristol City · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.39 |
| M11 | Cardiff · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.11 |
| M12 | Stoke · Home5 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.14 |
| M13 | Coventry · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.35 |
| M14 | Swansea · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.42 |
| M15 | Birmingham · Away19 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.80 |
| M16 | Sunderland · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.28 |
| M17 | Norwich · Home25 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.54 |
| M18 | Reading · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +4.55 |
| M19 | Rotherham · Home2 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.74 | +5.29 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.22 | +4.07 |
| M21 | Blackburn · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +5.20 |
| M22 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.60 |
| M23 | Middlesbrough · Home17 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +7.91 |
| M24 | Birmingham · Home27 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +8.85 |
| M25 | Stoke · Away30 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +10.24 |
| M26 | Swansea · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +11.74 |
| M27 | Coventry · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +12.73 |
| M28 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +14.16 |
| M29 | Norwich · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +15.90 |
| M30 | Preston · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +16.79 |
| M31 | Watford · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +15.83 |
| M32 | Luton · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +17.33 |
| M33 | Millwall · Away21 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +16.85 |
| M34 | Huddersfield · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +17.48 |
| M35 | Blackpool · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.09 | +16.39 |
| M36 | Wigan · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +17.06 |
| M37 | Hull · Away15 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +18.03 |
| M38 | Sunderland · Home31 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.20 | +16.83 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +18.47 |
| M40 | Sheffield United · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +19.91 |
| M41 | Reading · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.13 | +18.78 |
| M42 | Rotherham · Away18 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +17.83 |
| M43 | Queens Park Rangers · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | +15.50 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Away25 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +16.91 |
| M45 | Bristol City · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +18.27 |
| M46 | Cardiff · Home8 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +18.86 |
| Total | 101 | +18.86 | |||